Gimhae City vs Busan I Park: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gimhae City welcome Busan I Park to Gimhae Sports Complex for a K League 2 fixture on Sunday 3 May (08:30 WAT). In the table, Gimhae City are 17th, in the drop zone, on 18 points after 30 matches; Busan I Park are 5th (upper half) with 48. There are 30 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Gimhae City, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Yongin City, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Busan I Park, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Suwon City FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Busan I Park, collecting 3.0 points per game to 0.3 for Gimhae City.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gimhae City 1.1 xG, Busan I Park 1.8 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 54% for three or more goals, 56% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gimhae City 19%, draw 23%, Busan I Park 57%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gimhae City 1–1 Busan I Park. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gimhae City19%fair 5.19 · @5.40
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.75
Busan I Park57%fair 1.74 · @1.57
2.90Expected goals
1.06Gimhae City xG
1.84Busan I Park xG
56%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–29%
1–36%
1–06%
From our goals model: Gimhae City 1.1 – 1.8 Busan I Park expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Busan I Park to win✓
57%
1.74
1.57
Double chance
Busan I Park or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.80
Draw no bet
Busan I Park (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Gimhae City +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
Busan I Park to score first✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Busan I Park ahead at half-time✓
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Busan I Park / FT Busan I Park✓
35%
2.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.13
–
Recent results
Gimhae City – last 6
LDDLLL
26 Apr
@ Yongin City
1–4
L
18 Apr
@ Cheongju
1–1
D
12 Apr
@ Asan Mugunghwa
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ Paju Citizen
1–3
L
21 Mar
vs Suwon Bluewings
0–3
L
14 Mar
vs Suwon City FC
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Busan I Park – last 6
WWWWWW
18 Apr
vs Suwon City FC
2–1
W
11 Apr
vs Yongin City
2–0
W
4 Apr
@ Gyeongnam FC
2–1
W
29 Mar
@ Cheongju
2–1
W
22 Mar
vs Daegu FC
3–1
W
14 Mar
@ Seoul E-Land FC
3–2
W
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gimhae City and Busan I Park.
What is the prediction for Gimhae City vs Busan I Park?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Gimhae City vs Busan I Park?
On our numbers Gimhae City have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Busan I Park 57%.
How many goals will there be in Gimhae City vs Busan I Park?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimhae City vs Busan I Park?
Our predicted score is Gimhae City 1–1 Busan I Park, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Gimhae City vs Busan I Park?
Gimhae City vs Busan I Park (K League 2) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 08:30 (West Africa Time) at Gimhae Sports Complex.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
