Paju Citizen vs Cheongju: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 3 May the K League 2 brings Paju Citizen against Cheongju at Paju Stadium. Kick-off: 08:30 WAT. In the table, Paju Citizen are 10th, lower half, on 35 points after 30 matches; Cheongju are 13th (lower half) with 32. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Paju Citizen, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Gyeongnam FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Cheongju, last 5: DDDDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Asan Mugunghwa, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Paju Citizen, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Cheongju.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Paju Citizen 1.5 xG, Cheongju 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Paju Citizen 43%, draw 27%, Cheongju 30%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Paju Citizen 1–1 Cheongju. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Paju Citizen43%fair 2.32 · @2.25
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @3.10
Cheongju30%fair 3.32 · @3.10
2.61Expected goals
1.46Paju Citizen xG
1.15Cheongju xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Paju Citizen 1.5 – 1.1 Cheongju expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paju Citizen to win✗
43%
2.32
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.80
Draw no bet
Paju Citizen (draw no bet)
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
Cheongju +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.42
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Paju Citizen to score first✗
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paju Citizen / FT Paju Citizen✗
26%
3.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.11
–
Recent results
Paju Citizen – last 6
LWLWLW
25 Apr
vs Gyeongnam FC
2–3
L
19 Apr
@ Seongnam FC
1–0
W
11 Apr
vs Seoul E-Land FC
1–3
L
5 Apr
vs Gimhae City
3–1
W
29 Mar
@ Suwon City FC
1–2
L
21 Mar
vs Jeonnam Dragons
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Cheongju – last 6
DDDDLD
26 Apr
vs Asan Mugunghwa
0–0
D
18 Apr
vs Gimhae City
1–1
D
12 Apr
@ Cheonan City
2–2
D
5 Apr
@ Suwon Bluewings
0–0
D
29 Mar
vs Busan I Park
1–2
L
21 Mar
vs Ansan Greeners
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paju Citizen and Cheongju.
What is the prediction for Paju Citizen vs Cheongju?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Paju Citizen vs Cheongju?
On our numbers Paju Citizen have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Cheongju 30%.
How many goals will there be in Paju Citizen vs Cheongju?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paju Citizen vs Cheongju?
Our predicted score is Paju Citizen 1–1 Cheongju, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Paju Citizen vs Cheongju?
Paju Citizen vs Cheongju (K League 2) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 08:30 (West Africa Time) at Paju Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
