Vänersborgs FK 54%Draw 21%Vänersborgs IF 24%Expected goals 2.07 – 1.09
80%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Vänersborgs FK to win @ 2.10 – our chance 54% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultVänersborgs FK to win ✗54% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.09
Vänersborgs FK vs Vänersborgs IF: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Friday 1 May: Vänersborgs FK v Vänersborgs IF in the Division 2 Norra Götaland. In the table, Vänersborgs FK are 9th, lower half, on 32 points after 26 matches; Vänersborgs IF are 14th (in the drop zone) with 9. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Vänersborgs FK, last 3: WDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Lidköping, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Vänersborgs IF, last 3: LDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Skara, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Vänersborgs FK, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.3 for Vänersborgs IF.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vänersborgs FK 2.1 xG, Vänersborgs IF 1.1 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vänersborgs FK 54%, draw 21%, Vänersborgs IF 24%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Vänersborgs FK to win @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vänersborgs FK 2–1 Vänersborgs IF. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vänersborgs FK54%fair 1.85 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.50
Vänersborgs IF24%fair 4.10 · @2.95
3.16Expected goals
2.07Vänersborgs FK xG
1.09Vänersborgs IF xG
62%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Vänersborgs FK 2.1 – 1.1 Vänersborgs IF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vänersborgs FK to win✗
54%
1.85
2.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.50
Draw no bet
Vänersborgs FK (draw no bet)✗
69%
1.45
–
Asian handicap
Vänersborgs IF +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
First team to score
Vänersborgs FK to score first✗
63%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Vänersborgs FK ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vänersborgs FK / FT Vänersborgs FK✗
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.09
–
Recent results
Vänersborgs FK – last 3
WDW
17 Apr
vs Lidköping
2–1
W
10 Apr
@ Ahlafors
1–1
D
3 Apr
vs Motala
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Vänersborgs IF – last 3
LDL
24 Apr
vs Skara
1–2
L
3 Apr
@ Tord
3–3
D
29 Mar
vs Kumla
1–3
L
1.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vänersborgs FK and Vänersborgs IF.
What is the prediction for Vänersborgs FK vs Vänersborgs IF?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Vänersborgs FK vs Vänersborgs IF?
On our numbers Vänersborgs FK have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Vänersborgs IF 24%.
How many goals will there be in Vänersborgs FK vs Vänersborgs IF?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vänersborgs FK vs Vänersborgs IF?
Our predicted score is Vänersborgs FK 2–1 Vänersborgs IF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Vänersborgs FK vs Vänersborgs IF?
Vänersborgs FK vs Vänersborgs IF (Division 2 Norra Götaland) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
