Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
1
Value bet: Lidköping to win @ 2.55 – our chance 43% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLidköping to win ✗43% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.85
Lidköping vs Motala: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Friday 1 May: Lidköping v Motala in the Division 2 Norra Götaland. In the table, Lidköping are 8th, lower half, on 33 points after 26 matches; Motala are 11th (lower half) with 26.
Current form
Lidköping, last 4: LLDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Vänersborgs FK, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Motala, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Ahlafors, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.4 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Motala, collecting 1.4 points per game to 0.5 for Lidköping.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lidköping 1.9 xG, Motala 1.4 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lidköping 43%, draw 23%, Motala 34%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.45.
Price worth noting: Lidköping to win @2.55 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (62%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lidköping 2–1 Motala. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lidköping43%fair 2.35 · @2.55
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.50
Motala34%fair 2.90 · @2.35
3.30Expected goals
1.87Lidköping xG
1.43Motala xG
63%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–27%
1–07%
2–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: Lidköping 1.9 – 1.4 Motala expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lidköping to win✗
43%
2.35
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.45
Draw no bet
Lidköping (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
Motala +1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
First team to score
Lidköping to score first✗
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.69
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lidköping / FT Lidköping✗
29%
3.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.85
–
Recent results
Lidköping – last 4
LLDD
17 Apr
@ Vänersborgs FK
1–2
L
10 Apr
vs Kumla
1–2
L
3 Apr
vs IFK Skövde
3–3
D
28 Mar
@ Ahlafors
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Motala – last 5
WLDLW
26 Apr
vs Ahlafors
3–2
W
19 Apr
@ Husqvarna
1–2
L
12 Apr
vs Tord
1–1
D
3 Apr
@ Vänersborgs FK
1–2
L
28 Mar
vs Skara
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lidköping and Motala.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Lidköping vs Motala?
On our numbers Lidköping have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Motala 34%.
How many goals will there be in Lidköping vs Motala?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lidköping vs Motala?
Our predicted score is Lidköping 2–1 Motala, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Lidköping vs Motala?
Lidköping vs Motala (Division 2 Norra Götaland) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
