IF Karlstad II 29%Draw 22%Ahlafors 50%Expected goals 1.28 – 2.09
64%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.46 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.46Odds
2
Value bet: Ahlafors to win @ 2.44 – our chance 50% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAhlafors to win ✓50% · @2.44
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.40
IF Karlstad II vs Ahlafors: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
IF Karlstad II welcome Ahlafors for a Division 2 Norra Götaland fixture on Saturday 23 May (12:00 WAT). In the table, IF Karlstad II are 13th, in the drop zone, on 16 points after 26 matches; Ahlafors are 4th (among the top four) with 46. There are 30 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
IF Karlstad II, last 4: LLDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Stenungsund, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Ahlafors, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Herrestads, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Ahlafors, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for IF Karlstad II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give IF Karlstad II 1.3 xG, Ahlafors 2.1 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 64% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – IF Karlstad II 29%, draw 22%, Ahlafors 50%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.40.
Price worth noting: Ahlafors to win @2.44 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.46). Most likely score in line with that pick: IF Karlstad II 1–2 Ahlafors. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
IF Karlstad II29%fair 3.49 · @2.43
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.44
Ahlafors50%fair 2.01 · @2.44
3.37Expected goals
1.28IF Karlstad II xG
2.09Ahlafors xG
64%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
0–17%
1–37%
2–26%
From our goals model: IF Karlstad II 1.3 – 2.1 Ahlafors expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ahlafors to win✓
50%
2.01
2.44 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.55
1.40
Draw no bet
Ahlafors (draw no bet)✓
63%
1.58
–
Asian handicap
IF Karlstad II +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.46
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.59
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.21
First team to score
Ahlafors to score first
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Ahlafors ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ahlafors / FT Ahlafors✗
36%
2.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.40
–
Recent results
IF Karlstad II – last 4
LLDD
3 May
@ Stenungsund
0–2
L
19 Apr
@ Skara
1–2
L
3 Apr
vs Herrestads
1–1
D
28 Mar
@ Grebbestad
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Ahlafors – last 6
WWLLDL
13 May
vs Herrestads
5–0
W
9 May
@ Grebbestad
2–0
W
1 May
vs IFK Skövde
2–3
L
26 Apr
@ Motala
2–3
L
10 Apr
vs Vänersborgs FK
1–1
D
3 Apr
@ Husqvarna
0–4
L
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between IF Karlstad II and Ahlafors.
What is the prediction for IF Karlstad II vs Ahlafors?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.46.
Who will win IF Karlstad II vs Ahlafors?
On our numbers IF Karlstad II have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ahlafors 50%.
How many goals will there be in IF Karlstad II vs Ahlafors?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for IF Karlstad II vs Ahlafors?
Our predicted score is IF Karlstad II 1–2 Ahlafors, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is IF Karlstad II vs Ahlafors?
IF Karlstad II vs Ahlafors (Division 2 Norra Götaland) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
