Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
1
Value bet: Grebbestad to win @ 2.40 – our chance 45% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultGrebbestad to win ✓45% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.21
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.84
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.78
Grebbestad vs Motala: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 23 May the Division 2 Norra Götaland brings Grebbestad against Motala. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Grebbestad are 5th, upper half, on 40 points after 26 matches; Motala are 11th (lower half) with 26. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Grebbestad, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Lidköping, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Motala, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Stenungsund, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Motala, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Grebbestad.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Grebbestad 1.9 xG, Motala 1.4 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 54% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Grebbestad 45%, draw 22%, Motala 33%.
Price worth noting: Grebbestad to win @2.40 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (63%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Grebbestad 2–1 Motala. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Grebbestad45%fair 2.24 · @2.40
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.35
Motala33%fair 3.04 · @2.38
3.32Expected goals
1.90Grebbestad xG
1.42Motala xG
54%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–27%
1–07%
2–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: Grebbestad 1.9 – 1.4 Motala expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Grebbestad to win✓
45%
2.24
2.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.21
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
–
Draw no bet
Grebbestad (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.74
–
Asian handicap
Motala +1 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
1.52
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.20
First team to score
Grebbestad to score first✓
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Grebbestad ahead at half-time✓
38%
2.64
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Grebbestad / FT Grebbestad✓
30%
3.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.78
–
Recent results
Grebbestad – last 6
WLLLLD
14 May
@ Lidköping
3–1
W
9 May
vs Ahlafors
0–2
L
1 May
@ Skara
1–3
L
10 Apr
@ Stenungsund
1–2
L
3 Apr
@ Kumla
0–2
L
28 Mar
vs IF Karlstad II
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Motala – last 6
DLWWLD
17 May
@ Stenungsund
1–1
D
9 May
vs IFK Skövde
0–4
L
1 May
@ Lidköping
3–0
W
26 Apr
vs Ahlafors
3–2
W
19 Apr
@ Husqvarna
1–2
L
12 Apr
vs Tord
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Grebbestad and Motala.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Grebbestad vs Motala?
On our numbers Grebbestad have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Motala 33%.
How many goals will there be in Grebbestad vs Motala?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Grebbestad vs Motala?
Our predicted score is Grebbestad 2–1 Motala, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Grebbestad vs Motala?
Grebbestad vs Motala (Division 2 Norra Götaland) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
