Grebbestad 65%Draw 20%Vänersborgs IF 15%Expected goals 2.48 – 1.01
65%
Betarazi pick
Grebbestad to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.68 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.68Odds
Picks by market
ResultGrebbestad to win ✓65% · @1.68
Double chanceGrebbestad or draw ✓85% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.45
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65% · @1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.56
Grebbestad vs Vänersborgs IF: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Thursday 18 June: Grebbestad v Vänersborgs IF in the Division 2 Norra Götaland. In the table, Grebbestad are 5th, upper half, on 40 points after 26 matches; Vänersborgs IF are 14th (in the drop zone) with 9. There are 31 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Grebbestad, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over IFK Skövde, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Vänersborgs IF, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Herrestads, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Grebbestad, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.7 for Vänersborgs IF.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Grebbestad 2.5 xG, Vänersborgs IF 1.0 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Grebbestad 65%, draw 20%, Vänersborgs IF 15%.
Lower-risk option: Grebbestad or draw (85%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.45.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Grebbestad to win (65%, odds 1.68 – longer than our fair 1.55, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Grebbestad 2–1 Vänersborgs IF. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Grebbestad65%fair 1.55 · @1.68
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @3.80
Vänersborgs IF15%fair 6.63 · @4.10
3.49Expected goals
2.48Grebbestad xG
1.01Vänersborgs IF xG
61%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
3–08%
1–18%
1–08%
From our goals model: Grebbestad 2.5 – 1.0 Vänersborgs IF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Grebbestad to win✓
65%
1.55
1.68 ▲
Double chance
Grebbestad or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.45
Draw no bet
Grebbestad (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Grebbestad -1 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
1.25
First team to score
Grebbestad to score first
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
Grebbestad ahead at half-time✗
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Grebbestad / FT Grebbestad✗
47%
2.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.56
–
Recent results
Grebbestad – last 6
WLWWWL
12 Jun
@ IFK Skövde
4–0
W
5 Jun
vs Husqvarna
1–2
L
29 May
@ Vänersborgs FK
3–2
W
23 May
vs Motala
2–0
W
14 May
@ Lidköping
3–1
W
9 May
vs Ahlafors
0–2
L
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Vänersborgs IF – last 6
DLLLLW
15 Jun
vs Herrestads
2–2
D
4 Jun
@ Stenungsund
0–5
L
31 May
@ Motala
0–2
L
22 May
vs Husqvarna
0–4
L
8 May
vs Lidköping
0–1
L
1 May
@ Vänersborgs FK
2–1
W
0.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Grebbestad and Vänersborgs IF.
What is the prediction for Grebbestad vs Vänersborgs IF?
Our pick is Grebbestad to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.68.
Who will win Grebbestad vs Vänersborgs IF?
On our numbers Grebbestad have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Vänersborgs IF 15%.
How many goals will there be in Grebbestad vs Vänersborgs IF?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Grebbestad vs Vänersborgs IF?
Our predicted score is Grebbestad 2–1 Vänersborgs IF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Grebbestad vs Vänersborgs IF?
Grebbestad vs Vänersborgs IF (Division 2 Norra Götaland) kicks off on Thursday 18 June 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
