Vänersborgs FK 44%Draw 22%Stenungsund 33%Expected goals 1.58 – 1.55
65%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
2
Value bet: Stenungsund to win @ 3.20 – our chance 33% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultVänersborgs FK to win ✗44% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.85
Vänersborgs FK vs Stenungsund: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:15 WAT, Thursday 18 June: Vänersborgs FK v Stenungsund in the Division 2 Norra Götaland. In the table, Vänersborgs FK are 9th, lower half, on 32 points after 26 matches; Stenungsund are 6th (upper half) with 39.
Current form
Vänersborgs FK, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Husqvarna, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Stenungsund, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Ahlafors, at home. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Momentum favours Stenungsund, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Vänersborgs FK.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vänersborgs FK 1.6 xG, Stenungsund 1.6 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 65% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vänersborgs FK 44%, draw 22%, Stenungsund 33%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.45.
Price worth noting: Stenungsund to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vänersborgs FK 1–1 Stenungsund. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vänersborgs FK44%fair 2.25 · @1.95
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.70
Stenungsund33%fair 2.99 · @3.20
3.13Expected goals
1.58Vänersborgs FK xG
1.55Stenungsund xG
65%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–18%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–27%
From our goals model: Vänersborgs FK 1.6 – 1.6 Stenungsund expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vänersborgs FK to win✗
44%
2.25
1.95
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.53
1.45
Draw no bet
Vänersborgs FK (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Stenungsund +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
1.57
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
1.22
First team to score
Vänersborgs FK to score first
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.58
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vänersborgs FK / FT Vänersborgs FK✗
23%
4.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.85
–
Recent results
Vänersborgs FK – last 6
LLLDLW
14 Jun
@ Husqvarna
1–3
L
5 Jun
vs Skara
1–3
L
29 May
vs Grebbestad
2–3
L
10 May
@ Tord
2–2
D
1 May
vs Vänersborgs IF
1–2
L
17 Apr
vs Lidköping
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Stenungsund – last 6
LWLWDL
12 Jun
vs Ahlafors
0–4
L
4 Jun
vs Vänersborgs IF
5–0
W
31 May
@ Husqvarna
1–3
L
23 May
vs Lidköping
6–0
W
17 May
vs Motala
1–1
D
8 May
@ Herrestads
1–4
L
2.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vänersborgs FK and Stenungsund.
What is the prediction for Vänersborgs FK vs Stenungsund?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Vänersborgs FK vs Stenungsund?
On our numbers Vänersborgs FK have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Stenungsund 33%.
How many goals will there be in Vänersborgs FK vs Stenungsund?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vänersborgs FK vs Stenungsund?
Our predicted score is Vänersborgs FK 1–1 Stenungsund, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Vänersborgs FK vs Stenungsund?
Vänersborgs FK vs Stenungsund (Division 2 Norra Götaland) kicks off on Thursday 18 June 2026 at 18:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
