Karlshamn v IFK Trelleborg: numbers & prediction

Karlshamn vs IFK Trelleborg: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

13:00 WAT, Saturday 15 August: Karlshamn v IFK Trelleborg in the Division 2 Östra Götaland. In the table, Karlshamn are 14th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 26 matches; IFK Trelleborg are 2nd (among the top four) with 53. There are 39 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Karlshamn, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Oskarshamns AIK, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

IFK Trelleborg, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Växjö Norra, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours IFK Trelleborg, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Karlshamn.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Karlshamn 0.9 xG, IFK Trelleborg 2.1 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

• 1X2 according to our numbers – Karlshamn 17%, draw 19%, IFK Trelleborg 65%.
• Lower-risk option: IFK Trelleborg or draw (83%) at 1.15.
• GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.48.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was IFK Trelleborg to win (65%, odds 1.68 – longer than our fair 1.55, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Karlshamn 0–2 IFK Trelleborg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.