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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Lilla Torg v Karlskrona: numbers & prediction

1–4
FT
Lilla Torg 13%Draw 20%Karlskrona 67% Expected goals 0.91 – 2.23
67%
Betarazi pick

Karlskrona to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultKarlskrona to win ✓67% · @1.57
Double chanceKarlskrona or draw ✓87% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.21

Lilla Torg vs Karlskrona: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Lilla Torg welcome Karlskrona for a Division 2 Östra Götaland fixture on Saturday 15 August (12:00 WAT). In the table, Lilla Torg are 10th, lower half, on 32 points after 26 matches; Karlskrona are 1st (leading the league) with 63. There are 31 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Lilla Torg, last 4: DLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Staffanstorp United, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.

Karlskrona, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Torns, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.3 a game lately.

Momentum favours Karlskrona, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.3 for Lilla Torg.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lilla Torg 0.9 xG, Karlskrona 2.2 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lilla Torg 13%, draw 20%, Karlskrona 67%.
  • Lower-risk option: Karlskrona or draw (87%) at 1.13.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Karlskrona to win (67%, odds 1.57 – longer than our fair 1.50, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lilla Torg 0–2 Karlskrona. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lilla Torg13%fair 7.43 · @4.50
Draw20%fair 5.04 · @4.10
Karlskrona67%fair 1.50 · @1.57
3.13Expected goals
0.91Lilla Torg xG
2.23Karlskrona xG
63%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–211%
1–210%
0–110%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%

From our goals model: Lilla Torg 0.9 – 2.2 Karlskrona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKarlskrona to win ✓67%1.501.57
Double chanceKarlskrona or draw ✓87%1.161.13
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.601.50
Draw no betKarlskrona (draw no bet) ✓83%1.20–
Asian handicapKarlskrona -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓62%1.621.48
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗60%1.681.62
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗77%1.301.25
First team to scoreKarlskrona to score first ✓68%1.47–
Half-time resultKarlskrona ahead at half-time ✓49%2.04–
Half-time / full-timeHT Karlskrona / FT Karlskrona ✓44%2.27–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.21–

Recent results

Lilla Torg – last 4

DLDW
8 Aug@ Staffanstorp United1–1D
2 Augvs Oskarshamns AIK2–3L
25 Jul@ Kristianstad2–2D
24 Junvs Torns4–0W
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

Karlskrona – last 6

WWWWWL
8 Augvs Torns5–0W
30 Julvs Nosaby5–1W
27 Jun@ Österlen3–0W
18 Junvs Karlshamn3–1W
14 Jun@ Linero4–2W
10 Jun@ Football Primetime0–1L
3.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Lilla Torg and Karlskrona.

Lilla Torg vs Karlskrona head-to-head page →

Division 2 Östra Götaland table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Karlskrona262033+4563
2IFK Trelleborg261655+2753
3Oskarshamns AIK261439+2545
4Nosaby261367+845
5Linero2614210+844
6Berga261349+1643
7Växjö Norra261088-138
8Österlen269611033
9Staffanstorp United268810032
10Lilla Torg267118-432
11Sölvesborg2610214-532
12Torns267019-4621
13Räppe264616-3318
14Karlshamn264220-4014

More Division 2 Östra Götaland predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lilla Torg vs Karlskrona?

Our pick is Karlskrona to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Lilla Torg vs Karlskrona?

On our numbers Lilla Torg have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Karlskrona 67%.

How many goals will there be in Lilla Torg vs Karlskrona?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lilla Torg vs Karlskrona?

Our predicted score is Lilla Torg 0–2 Karlskrona, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Lilla Torg vs Karlskrona?

Lilla Torg vs Karlskrona (Division 2 Östra Götaland) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.