Antofagasta vs Deportes Santa Cruz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:30 WAT, Sunday 24 May: Antofagasta v Deportes Santa Cruz in the Primera B, played at Estadio Regional de Antofagasta. In the table, Antofagasta are 4th, among the top four, on 48 points after 29 matches; Deportes Santa Cruz are 14th (in the drop zone) with 24. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Antofagasta, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with San Marcos de Arica, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Deportes Santa Cruz, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Deportes Temuco, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Antofagasta, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Deportes Santa Cruz.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Antofagasta 2.1 xG, Deportes Santa Cruz 0.8 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Antofagasta 63%, draw 23%, Deportes Santa Cruz 14%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Antofagasta 2–0 Deportes Santa Cruz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Antofagasta63%fair 1.59 · @1.64
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.65
Deportes Santa Cruz14%fair 7.08 · @4.75
2.87Expected goals
2.06Antofagasta xG
0.81Deportes Santa Cruz xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Antofagasta 2.1 – 0.8 Deportes Santa Cruz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Antofagasta to win✗
63%
1.59
1.64
Double chance
Antofagasta or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.68
1.65
Draw no bet
Antofagasta (draw no bet)
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Antofagasta -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Antofagasta to score first✓
68%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Antofagasta ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Antofagasta / FT Antofagasta✗
43%
2.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.27
–
Recent results
Antofagasta – last 6
DWDWLL
17 May
@ San Marcos de Arica
1–1
D
29 Mar
vs Deportes Iquique
4–0
W
22 Mar
@ Santiago Wanderers
2–2
D
15 Mar
vs Union Espanola
2–1
W
6 Mar
@ Union San Felipe
0–2
L
1 Mar
vs D. Puerto Montt
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Deportes Santa Cruz – last 6
LLLWLL
19 May
vs Deportes Temuco
2–3
L
19 Apr
vs Union San Felipe
1–3
L
30 Mar
@ San Luis
2–3
L
22 Mar
vs Curico Unido
4–2
W
16 Mar
@ D. Puerto Montt
0–2
L
9 Mar
@ Santiago Wanderers
2–3
L
1.8Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Antofagasta and Deportes Santa Cruz.
What is the prediction for Antofagasta vs Deportes Santa Cruz?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Antofagasta vs Deportes Santa Cruz?
On our numbers Antofagasta have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Deportes Santa Cruz 14%.
How many goals will there be in Antofagasta vs Deportes Santa Cruz?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Antofagasta vs Deportes Santa Cruz?
Our predicted score is Antofagasta 2–0 Deportes Santa Cruz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Antofagasta vs Deportes Santa Cruz?
Antofagasta vs Deportes Santa Cruz (Primera B) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Regional de Antofagasta.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
