D. Puerto Montt 39%Draw 28%San Marcos de Arica 33%Expected goals 1.15 – 1.05
79%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultD. Puerto Montt to win ✗39% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.96
D. Puerto Montt vs San Marcos de Arica: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
San Marcos de Arica travel to face D. Puerto Montt on Sunday 24 May in the Primera B, with Estadio Regional de Chinquihue the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, D. Puerto Montt are 11th, lower half, on 38 points after 29 matches; San Marcos de Arica are 6th (upper half) with 43.
Current form
D. Puerto Montt, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to San Luis, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
San Marcos de Arica, last 5: DDWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Antofagasta, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give D. Puerto Montt 1.2 xG, San Marcos de Arica 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – D. Puerto Montt 39%, draw 28%, San Marcos de Arica 33%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: D. Puerto Montt 1–1 San Marcos de Arica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
D. Puerto Montt39%fair 2.59 · @2.30
Draw28%fair 3.58 · @3.20
San Marcos de Arica33%fair 3.00 · @2.90
2.21Expected goals
1.15D. Puerto Montt xG
1.05San Marcos de Arica xG
54%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: D. Puerto Montt 1.2 – 1.1 San Marcos de Arica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
D. Puerto Montt to win✗
39%
2.59
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.39
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.85
Draw no bet
D. Puerto Montt (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
San Marcos de Arica +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
D. Puerto Montt to score first✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT D. Puerto Montt / FT D. Puerto Montt✗
22%
4.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.96
–
Recent results
D. Puerto Montt – last 6
LWWLWD
17 May
@ San Luis
1–4
L
9 May
vs Magallanes
2–0
W
3 May
@ Rangers de Talca
1–0
W
26 Apr
@ Curico Unido
1–2
L
21 Apr
vs Deportes Temuco
1–0
W
12 Apr
@ Deportes Iquique
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
San Marcos de Arica – last 6
DDWWDD
17 May
vs Antofagasta
1–1
D
12 May
@ Curico Unido
2–2
D
5 May
vs Recoleta
1–0
W
13 Apr
@ Rangers de Talca
3–2
W
23 Mar
@ Union San Felipe
1–1
D
17 Mar
vs Santiago Wanderers
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between D. Puerto Montt and San Marcos de Arica.
What is the prediction for D. Puerto Montt vs San Marcos de Arica?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win D. Puerto Montt vs San Marcos de Arica?
On our numbers D. Puerto Montt have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 28% and San Marcos de Arica 33%.
How many goals will there be in D. Puerto Montt vs San Marcos de Arica?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for D. Puerto Montt vs San Marcos de Arica?
Our predicted score is D. Puerto Montt 1–1 San Marcos de Arica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is D. Puerto Montt vs San Marcos de Arica?
D. Puerto Montt vs San Marcos de Arica (Primera B) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Regional de Chinquihue.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
