Value bet: San Luis to win @ 2.90 – our chance 40% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSan Luis to win ✗40% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.85
Recoleta vs San Luis: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Recoleta welcome San Luis for a Primera B fixture on Saturday 30 May (17:30 WAT). In the table, Recoleta are 7th, upper half, on 42 points after 29 matches; San Luis are 2nd (among the top four) with 54. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Recoleta, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Cobreloa, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
San Luis, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Magallanes, at home. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours San Luis, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.7 for Recoleta.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Recoleta 1.2 xG, San Luis 1.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Recoleta 34%, draw 25%, San Luis 40%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: San Luis to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Recoleta 1–1 San Luis. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Recoleta34%fair 2.92 · @2.20
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.30
San Luis40%fair 2.48 · @2.90
2.81Expected goals
1.24Recoleta xG
1.57San Luis xG
60%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
0–27%
1–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Recoleta 1.2 – 1.6 San Luis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Luis to win✗
40%
2.48
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.70
Draw no bet
San Luis (draw no bet)
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
Recoleta +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
San Luis to score first✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Luis / FT San Luis✗
27%
3.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.85
–
Recent results
Recoleta – last 6
DLLWWW
21 May
vs Cobreloa
2–2
D
5 May
@ San Marcos de Arica
0–1
L
27 Mar
vs Deportes Temuco
1–5
L
13 Mar
vs Union San Felipe
2–0
W
27 Feb
vs Union Espanola
2–1
W
21 Feb
@ Santiago Wanderers
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
San Luis – last 6
WWWWDD
25 May
vs Magallanes
2–1
W
17 May
vs D. Puerto Montt
4–1
W
4 May
vs Union San Felipe
4–0
W
30 Mar
vs Deportes Santa Cruz
3–2
W
23 Mar
@ Deportes Temuco
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Deportes Copiapo
2–2
D
2.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Recoleta and San Luis.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Recoleta vs San Luis?
On our numbers Recoleta have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 25% and San Luis 40%.
How many goals will there be in Recoleta vs San Luis?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Recoleta vs San Luis?
Our predicted score is Recoleta 1–1 San Luis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Recoleta vs San Luis?
Recoleta vs San Luis (Primera B) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
