Union San Felipe vs D. Puerto Montt: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Saturday 30 May: Union San Felipe v D. Puerto Montt in the Primera B, played at Estadio Municipal de San Felipe. In the table, Union San Felipe are 15th, in the drop zone, on 23 points after 29 matches; D. Puerto Montt are 11th (lower half) with 38. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Union San Felipe, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Deportes Temuco, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
D. Puerto Montt, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to San Marcos de Arica, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Union San Felipe 1.0 xG, D. Puerto Montt 1.3 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Union San Felipe 32%, draw 28%, D. Puerto Montt 40%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union San Felipe 1–1 D. Puerto Montt. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Union San Felipe32%fair 3.13 · @2.55
Draw28%fair 3.62 · @3.20
D. Puerto Montt40%fair 2.48 · @2.55
2.31Expected goals
1.03Union San Felipe xG
1.28D. Puerto Montt xG
56%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–010%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Union San Felipe 1.0 – 1.3 D. Puerto Montt expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
D. Puerto Montt to win✗
40%
2.48
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.38
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
1.80
Draw no bet
D. Puerto Montt (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
Union San Felipe +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
D. Puerto Montt to score first✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT D. Puerto Montt / FT D. Puerto Montt✗
24%
4.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.92
–
Recent results
Union San Felipe – last 6
LLWDLW
24 May
@ Deportes Temuco
0–5
L
4 May
@ San Luis
0–4
L
19 Apr
@ Deportes Santa Cruz
3–1
W
23 Mar
vs San Marcos de Arica
1–1
D
13 Mar
@ Recoleta
0–2
L
6 Mar
vs Antofagasta
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
D. Puerto Montt – last 6
LLWWLW
24 May
vs San Marcos de Arica
0–2
L
17 May
@ San Luis
1–4
L
9 May
vs Magallanes
2–0
W
3 May
@ Rangers de Talca
1–0
W
26 Apr
@ Curico Unido
1–2
L
21 Apr
vs Deportes Temuco
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union San Felipe and D. Puerto Montt.
What is the prediction for Union San Felipe vs D. Puerto Montt?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Union San Felipe vs D. Puerto Montt?
On our numbers Union San Felipe have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 28% and D. Puerto Montt 40%.
How many goals will there be in Union San Felipe vs D. Puerto Montt?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union San Felipe vs D. Puerto Montt?
Our predicted score is Union San Felipe 1–1 D. Puerto Montt, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Union San Felipe vs D. Puerto Montt?
Union San Felipe vs D. Puerto Montt (Primera B) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de San Felipe.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
