Union San Felipe vs Cobreloa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 16 August the Primera B brings Union San Felipe against Cobreloa at Estadio Municipal de San Felipe. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Union San Felipe are 15th, in the drop zone, on 23 points after 29 matches; Cobreloa are 1st (leading the league) with 54. There are 31 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Union San Felipe, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over San Marcos de Arica, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Cobreloa, last 5: DDDWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Magallanes, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Cobreloa, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Union San Felipe.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Union San Felipe 1.2 xG, Cobreloa 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Union San Felipe 34%, draw 23%, Cobreloa 43%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union San Felipe 1–1 Cobreloa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Union San Felipe34%fair 2.95 · @2.88
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.20
Cobreloa43%fair 2.30 · @2.25
2.66Expected goals
1.23Union San Felipe xG
1.43Cobreloa xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–09%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Union San Felipe 1.2 – 1.4 Cobreloa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cobreloa to win✓
43%
2.30
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.74
1.80
Draw no bet
Cobreloa (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Union San Felipe +1 (Asian handicap)
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Cobreloa to score first✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cobreloa / FT Cobreloa✗
25%
4.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.35
–
Recent results
Union San Felipe – last 6
WDLLLD
13 Aug
@ San Marcos de Arica
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Recoleta
0–0
D
5 Aug
vs Universidad de Chile
0–1
L
1 Aug
@ Antofagasta
1–5
L
25 Jul
@ Santiago Wanderers
0–2
L
4 Jul
vs Union La Calera
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Cobreloa – last 6
DDDWWD
12 Aug
@ Magallanes
2–2
D
8 Aug
vs Deportes Iquique
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Curico Unido
0–0
D
25 Jul
vs Deportes Santa Cruz
4–2
W
12 Jul
vs D. La Serena
1–0
W
5 Jul
@ Cobresal
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union San Felipe and Cobreloa.
What is the prediction for Union San Felipe vs Cobreloa?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Union San Felipe vs Cobreloa?
On our numbers Union San Felipe have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cobreloa 43%.
How many goals will there be in Union San Felipe vs Cobreloa?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union San Felipe vs Cobreloa?
Our predicted score is Union San Felipe 1–1 Cobreloa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Union San Felipe vs Cobreloa?
Union San Felipe vs Cobreloa (Primera B) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de San Felipe.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.