Union Espanola vs San Marcos de Arica: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 16 August the Primera B brings Union Espanola against San Marcos de Arica at Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK. Kick-off: 01:00 WAT. In the table, Union Espanola are 9th, lower half, on 39 points after 29 matches; San Marcos de Arica are 6th (upper half) with 43.
Current form
Union Espanola, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over D. Puerto Montt, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
San Marcos de Arica, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Union San Felipe, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Union Espanola 1.3 xG, San Marcos de Arica 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Union Espanola 41%, draw 22%, San Marcos de Arica 37%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union Espanola 1–1 San Marcos de Arica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Union Espanola41%fair 2.42 · @2.25
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.35
San Marcos de Arica37%fair 2.69 · @2.80
2.51Expected goals
1.30Union Espanola xG
1.21San Marcos de Arica xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Union Espanola 1.3 – 1.2 San Marcos de Arica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union Espanola to win✓
41%
2.42
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.67
Draw no bet
Union Espanola (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
San Marcos de Arica +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Union Espanola to score first
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union Espanola / FT Union Espanola✓
22%
4.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
8%
12.06
–
Recent results
Union Espanola – last 6
WLLWLL
12 Aug
@ D. Puerto Montt
1–0
W
7 Aug
vs Antofagasta
0–3
L
2 Aug
@ Magallanes
2–3
L
28 Jul
vs Recoleta
2–1
W
5 Jul
vs O'Higgins
1–2
L
30 Jun
vs Colo Colo
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
San Marcos de Arica – last 6
LDLDWL
13 Aug
vs Union San Felipe
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Santiago Wanderers
1–1
D
6 Aug
@ Coquimbo Unido
0–1
L
1 Aug
vs Deportes Iquique
1–1
D
26 Jul
vs Magallanes
2–0
W
6 Jul
@ Deportes Limache
1–4
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union Espanola and San Marcos de Arica.
What is the prediction for Union Espanola vs San Marcos de Arica?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Union Espanola vs San Marcos de Arica?
On our numbers Union Espanola have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and San Marcos de Arica 37%.
How many goals will there be in Union Espanola vs San Marcos de Arica?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Espanola vs San Marcos de Arica?
Our predicted score is Union Espanola 1–1 San Marcos de Arica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Union Espanola vs San Marcos de Arica?
Union Espanola vs San Marcos de Arica (Primera B) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
