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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cobreloa v Union Espanola: numbers & prediction

Primera B · Chile · Estadio Zorros del Desierto
0–1
FT
Cobreloa 63%Draw 16%Union Espanola 21% Expected goals 1.91 – 0.96
77%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: Cobreloa to win @ 1.91 – our chance 63% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultCobreloa to win ✗63% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07

Cobreloa vs Union Espanola: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Cobreloa welcome Union Espanola to Estadio Zorros del Desierto for a Primera B fixture on Saturday 22 August (22:30 WAT). In the table, Cobreloa are 1st, leading the league, on 54 points after 29 matches; Union Espanola are 9th (lower half) with 39. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Cobreloa, last 5: WDDDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Union San Felipe, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Union Espanola, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over San Marcos de Arica, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Cobreloa, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Union Espanola.

Head to head

When they last met (11 Apr 2026) it ended Union Espanola 1–1 Cobreloa.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cobreloa 1.9 xG, Union Espanola 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cobreloa 63%, draw 16%, Union Espanola 21%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.57.
  • Price worth noting: Cobreloa to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 63%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cobreloa 1–1 Union Espanola. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cobreloa63%fair 1.60 · @1.91
Draw16%fair 6.25 · @3.50
Union Espanola21%fair 4.66 · @3.35
2.87Expected goals
1.91Cobreloa xG
0.96Union Espanola xG
57%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–011%
1–110%
2–010%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%

From our goals model: Cobreloa 1.9 – 1.0 Union Espanola expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCobreloa to win ✗63%1.601.91 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84%1.191.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.741.57
Draw no betCobreloa (draw no bet) ✗74%1.34–
Asian handicapUnion Espanola +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77%1.301.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗55%1.831.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.491.40
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.20–
First team to scoreCobreloa to score first ✗63%1.59–
Half-time resultCobreloa ahead at half-time ✗43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cobreloa / FT Cobreloa ✗38%2.66–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.07–

Recent results

Cobreloa – last 6

WDDDWW
16 Aug@ Union San Felipe1–0W
12 Aug@ Magallanes2–2D
8 Augvs Deportes Iquique1–1D
1 Aug@ Curico Unido0–0D
25 Julvs Deportes Santa Cruz4–2W
12 Julvs D. La Serena1–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Union Espanola – last 6

WWLLWL
16 Augvs San Marcos de Arica2–1W
12 Aug@ D. Puerto Montt1–0W
7 Augvs Antofagasta0–3L
2 Aug@ Magallanes2–3L
28 Julvs Recoleta2–1W
5 Julvs O'Higgins1–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 Apr 2026Union Espanola v Cobreloa1–1
Cobreloa vs Union Espanola head-to-head page →

Primera B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cobreloa291595+2254
2San Luis291595+1454
3Santiago Wanderers291487+1650
4Antofagasta291397+2548
5Magallanes291379+146
6San Marcos de Arica2911108+743
7Recoleta291199-242
8Deportes Copiapo2911810+141
9Union Espanola2911612-339
10Deportes Iquique299119+938
11D. Puerto Montt2911513-738
12Deportes Temuco309912+136
13Curico Unido3081012-1734
14Deportes Santa Cruz2941213-1424
15Union San Felipe295816-3423
16Rangers de Talca295618-1921

More Primera B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cobreloa vs Union Espanola?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Cobreloa vs Union Espanola?

On our numbers Cobreloa have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Union Espanola 21%.

How many goals will there be in Cobreloa vs Union Espanola?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cobreloa vs Union Espanola?

Our predicted score is Cobreloa 1–1 Union Espanola, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Cobreloa vs Union Espanola?

Cobreloa vs Union Espanola (Primera B) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Zorros del Desierto.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.