Magallanes 62%Draw 22%Deportes Santa Cruz 17%Expected goals 2.05 – 0.97
83%
Betarazi pick
Magallanes or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Magallanes to win @ 1.80 – our chance 62% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMagallanes to win ✓62% · @1.80
Double chanceMagallanes or draw ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Magallanes vs Deportes Santa Cruz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 22 August the Primera B brings Magallanes against Deportes Santa Cruz at Estadio Santiago Bueras. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Magallanes are 5th, upper half, on 46 points after 29 matches; Deportes Santa Cruz are 14th (in the drop zone) with 24. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Magallanes, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Rangers de Talca, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Deportes Santa Cruz, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to San Luis, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Magallanes, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Deportes Santa Cruz.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Magallanes 2.1 xG, Deportes Santa Cruz 1.0 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Magallanes 62%, draw 22%, Deportes Santa Cruz 17%.
Lower-risk option: Magallanes or draw (83%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Magallanes to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Magallanes or draw (83%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Magallanes 2–0 Deportes Santa Cruz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Magallanes62%fair 1.62 · @1.80
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.60
Deportes Santa Cruz17%fair 6.05 · @3.70
3.03Expected goals
2.05Magallanes xG
0.97Deportes Santa Cruz xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Magallanes 2.1 – 1.0 Deportes Santa Cruz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Magallanes to win✓
62%
1.62
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Magallanes or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.67
Draw no bet
Magallanes (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Magallanes -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
First team to score
Magallanes to score first✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Magallanes ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Magallanes / FT Magallanes✗
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.05
–
Recent results
Magallanes – last 6
WDWWLL
15 Aug
@ Rangers de Talca
3–2
W
12 Aug
vs Cobreloa
2–2
D
9 Aug
@ Deportes Temuco
4–3
W
2 Aug
vs Union Espanola
3–2
W
26 Jul
@ San Marcos de Arica
0–2
L
11 Jul
vs A. Italiano
0–1
L
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Deportes Santa Cruz – last 6
LWDLLL
17 Aug
vs San Luis
0–2
L
14 Aug
@ Curico Unido
2–1
W
8 Aug
vs D. Puerto Montt
0–0
D
2 Aug
vs Santiago Wanderers
1–3
L
25 Jul
@ Cobreloa
2–4
L
11 Jul
@ Palestino
2–3
L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Magallanes and Deportes Santa Cruz.
What is the prediction for Magallanes vs Deportes Santa Cruz?
Our pick is Magallanes or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Magallanes vs Deportes Santa Cruz?
On our numbers Magallanes have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Deportes Santa Cruz 17%.
How many goals will there be in Magallanes vs Deportes Santa Cruz?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Magallanes vs Deportes Santa Cruz?
Our predicted score is Magallanes 2–0 Deportes Santa Cruz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Magallanes vs Deportes Santa Cruz?
Magallanes vs Deportes Santa Cruz (Primera B) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Santiago Bueras.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
