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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Curico Unido v Union Espanola: numbers & prediction

Primera B · Chile · Estadio Bicentenario La Granja
2–1
FT
Curico Unido 36%Draw 21%Union Espanola 43% Expected goals 1.23 – 1.39
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: Union Espanola to win @ 2.55 – our chance 43% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultUnion Espanola to win ✗43% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.58

Curico Unido vs Union Espanola: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

00:30 WAT, Wednesday 9 September: Curico Unido v Union Espanola in the Primera B, played at Estadio Bicentenario La Granja. In the table, Curico Unido are 13th, lower half, on 34 points after 30 matches; Union Espanola are 9th (lower half) with 39.

Current form

Curico Unido, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to D. Puerto Montt, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Union Espanola, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Deportes Santa Cruz, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Union Espanola, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Curico Unido.

Head to head

When they last met (1 May 2026) it ended Union Espanola 2–0 Curico Unido.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Curico Unido 1.2 xG, Union Espanola 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Curico Unido 36%, draw 21%, Union Espanola 43%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.60.
  • Price worth noting: Union Espanola to win @2.55 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 43%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Curico Unido 1–1 Union Espanola. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Curico Unido36%fair 2.80 · @2.40
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.40
Union Espanola43%fair 2.33 · @2.55
2.62Expected goals
1.23Curico Unido xG
1.39Union Espanola xG
61%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: Curico Unido 1.2 – 1.4 Union Espanola expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUnion Espanola to win ✗43%2.332.55 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.651.60
Draw no betUnion Espanola (draw no bet) ✗55%1.83–
Asian handicapCurico Unido +1 (Asian handicap) ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.351.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓50%1.981.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.411.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scoreUnion Espanola to score first49%2.04–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT Union Espanola / FT Union Espanola ✗24%4.23–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.58–

Recent results

Curico Unido – last 6

LDWLLD
5 Sep@ D. Puerto Montt0–2L
30 Augvs Recoleta0–0D
24 Augvs Union San Felipe2–0W
17 Aug@ Deportes Copiapo0–4L
14 Augvs Deportes Santa Cruz1–2L
9 Aug@ Rangers de Talca0–0D
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Union Espanola – last 6

DLLWWW
5 Sep@ Deportes Santa Cruz1–1D
29 Augvs Rangers de Talca0–1L
27 Aug@ Colo Colo0–3L
22 Aug@ Cobreloa1–0W
16 Augvs San Marcos de Arica2–1W
12 Aug@ D. Puerto Montt1–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 May 2026Union Espanola v Curico Unido2–0
Curico Unido vs Union Espanola head-to-head page →

Primera B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cobreloa291595+2254
2San Luis291595+1454
3Santiago Wanderers291487+1650
4Antofagasta291397+2548
5Magallanes291379+146
6San Marcos de Arica2911108+743
7Recoleta291199-242
8Deportes Copiapo2911810+141
9Union Espanola2911612-339
10Deportes Iquique299119+938
11D. Puerto Montt2911513-738
12Deportes Temuco309912+136
13Curico Unido3081012-1734
14Deportes Santa Cruz2941213-1424
15Union San Felipe295816-3423
16Rangers de Talca295618-1921

More Primera B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Curico Unido vs Union Espanola?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Curico Unido vs Union Espanola?

On our numbers Curico Unido have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Union Espanola 43%.

How many goals will there be in Curico Unido vs Union Espanola?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Curico Unido vs Union Espanola?

Our predicted score is Curico Unido 1–1 Union Espanola, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Curico Unido vs Union Espanola?

Curico Unido vs Union Espanola (Primera B) kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bicentenario La Granja.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.