Recoleta vs San Marcos de Arica: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Recoleta welcome San Marcos de Arica for a Primera B fixture on Wednesday 9 September (22:00 WAT). In the table, Recoleta are 7th, upper half, on 42 points after 29 matches; San Marcos de Arica are 6th (upper half) with 43. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Recoleta, last 5: WDLWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Antofagasta, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
San Marcos de Arica, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Deportes Copiapo, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Recoleta, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for San Marcos de Arica.
Head to head
When they last met (5 May 2026) it ended San Marcos de Arica 1–0 Recoleta.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Recoleta 1.3 xG, San Marcos de Arica 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Recoleta 40%, draw 23%, San Marcos de Arica 37%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Recoleta 1–1 San Marcos de Arica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Recoleta40%fair 2.49 · @2.33
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.20
San Marcos de Arica37%fair 2.70 · @2.85
2.45Expected goals
1.26Recoleta xG
1.19San Marcos de Arica xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Recoleta 1.3 – 1.2 San Marcos de Arica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Recoleta vs San Marcos de Arica?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Recoleta vs San Marcos de Arica?
On our numbers Recoleta have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and San Marcos de Arica 37%.
How many goals will there be in Recoleta vs San Marcos de Arica?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Recoleta vs San Marcos de Arica?
Our predicted score is Recoleta 1–1 San Marcos de Arica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Recoleta vs San Marcos de Arica?
Recoleta vs San Marcos de Arica (Primera B) kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
