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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Real Santander v Quindio: numbers & prediction

Primera B · Colombia · Estadio Villa Concha
1–2
FT
Real Santander 28%Draw 28%Quindio 44% Expected goals 0.95 – 1.21
80%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultQuindio to win ✓44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 12.45

Real Santander vs Quindio: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Real Santander welcome Quindio to Estadio Villa Concha for a Primera B fixture on Thursday 5 March (21:00 WAT). In the table, Real Santander are 9th, in the drop zone, on 20 points after 15 matches; Quindio are 1st (leading the league) with 6. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Real Santander 1.0 xG, Quindio 1.2 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Real Santander 28%, draw 28%, Quindio 44%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.90.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Santander 0–1 Quindio. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Real Santander28%fair 3.59 · @3.45
Draw28%fair 3.62 · @3.10
Quindio44%fair 2.25 · @2.05
2.17Expected goals
0.95Real Santander xG
1.21Quindio xG
52%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
1–113%
0–011%
1–011%
0–28%
1–28%

From our goals model: Real Santander 1.0 – 1.2 Quindio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Real SantanderQuindio
Attack vs Primera B average-0%+6%
Goals conceded vs average+15%-12%
Our expected goals here1.021.17

Our own ratings from every Primera B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultQuindio to win ✓44%2.252.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72%1.381.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.911.90
Draw no betQuindio (draw no bet) ✓61%1.63–
Asian handicapReal Santander +1 (Asian handicap)76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓65%1.541.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗60%1.661.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.251.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.07–
First team to scoreQuindio to score first ✓50%2.02–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗48%2.10–
Half-time / full-timeHT Quindio / FT Quindio ✓24%4.16–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8%12.45–

Recent results

Real Santander – last 1

D
24 Feb@ Ind. Yumbo1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Quindio – last 2

WW
24 Feb@ Envigado2–1W
17 Febvs Barranquilla1–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Real Santander and Quindio.

Real Santander vs Quindio head-to-head page →

Primera B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Envigado4219149+2171
2Quindio3920109+1370
3Real Cartagena41171410+1765
4Union Magdalena4017149+1665
5Internacional Palmira3617109+1061
6Tigres FC39131412+653
7Ind. Yumbo3412139+649
8Bogota FC36101412-644
9Real Cundinamarca33101211+142
10Popayan34101113-441
11Barranquilla36101016-440
12Patriotas309813-1035
13Orsomarso3081012-734
14Depor FC306915-1627
15Real Santander3051213-1727
16Leones FC305916-2624

More Primera B predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Real Santander vs Quindio?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Real Santander vs Quindio?

On our numbers Real Santander have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Quindio 44%.

How many goals will there be in Real Santander vs Quindio?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Real Santander vs Quindio?

Our predicted score is Real Santander 0–1 Quindio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Real Santander vs Quindio?

Real Santander vs Quindio (Primera B) kicks off on Thursday 5 March 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Villa Concha.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.