Envigado vs Real Cartagena: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Envigado welcome Real Cartagena to Estadio Polideportivo Sur for a Primera B fixture on Monday 16 March (22:05 WAT). In the table, Envigado are 1st, leading the league, on 7 points after 4 matches; Real Cartagena are 3rd (among the top four) with 4. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Envigado, last 3: WWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Leones FC, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Real Cartagena, last 4: DWDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Internacional Palmira, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Envigado, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Real Cartagena.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Envigado 1.3 xG, Real Cartagena 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Envigado 43%, draw 27%, Real Cartagena 30%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Envigado 1–1 Real Cartagena. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Envigado43%fair 2.31 · @2.20
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @3.10
Real Cartagena30%fair 3.33 · @3.20
2.39Expected goals
1.35Envigado xG
1.04Real Cartagena xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Envigado 1.3 – 1.0 Real Cartagena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Envigado
Real Cartagena
Attack vs Primera B average
+14%
+40%
Goals conceded vs average
-21%
+9%
Our expected goals here
1.44
1.07
Our own ratings from every Primera B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Envigado to win✗
43%
2.31
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.85
Draw no bet
Envigado (draw no bet)
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Real Cartagena +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Envigado to score first
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Envigado / FT Envigado✗
25%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.54
–
Recent results
Envigado – last 3
WWL
11 Mar
@ Leones FC
3–0
W
5 Mar
vs Popayan
1–0
W
24 Feb
vs Quindio
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Real Cartagena – last 4
DWDL
11 Mar
vs Internacional Palmira
2–2
D
7 Mar
vs Orsomarso
4–0
W
3 Mar
@ Tigres FC
0–0
D
21 Feb
vs Leones FC
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Envigado and Real Cartagena.
What is the prediction for Envigado vs Real Cartagena?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Envigado vs Real Cartagena?
On our numbers Envigado have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Real Cartagena 30%.
How many goals will there be in Envigado vs Real Cartagena?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Envigado vs Real Cartagena?
Our predicted score is Envigado 1–1 Real Cartagena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Envigado vs Real Cartagena?
Envigado vs Real Cartagena (Primera B) kicks off on Monday 16 March 2026 at 22:05 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Polideportivo Sur.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
