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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Barranquilla v Bogota FC: numbers & prediction

Primera B · Colombia · Estadio Romelio Martinez
1–1
FT
Barranquilla 39%Draw 28%Bogota FC 32% Expected goals 1.14 – 0.98
80%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultBarranquilla to win ✗39% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.09

Barranquilla vs Bogota FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Bogota FC travel to face Barranquilla on Monday 16 March in the Primera B, with Estadio Romelio Martinez the venue – the ball rolls at 23:30 WAT. In the table, Barranquilla are 15th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 15 matches; Bogota FC are 10th (lower half) with 18.

Current form

Barranquilla, last 4: LLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Ind. Yumbo, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Bogota FC, last 4: LDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Tigres FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Bogota FC, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Barranquilla.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Barranquilla 1.1 xG, Bogota FC 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Barranquilla 39%, draw 28%, Bogota FC 32%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barranquilla 1–0 Bogota FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Barranquilla39%fair 2.53 · @2.20
Draw28%fair 3.54 · @3.10
Bogota FC32%fair 3.10 · @3.10
2.12Expected goals
1.14Barranquilla xG
0.98Bogota FC xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–112%
2–08%
2–18%

From our goals model: Barranquilla 1.1 – 1.0 Bogota FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

BarranquillaBogota FC
Attack vs Primera B average+4%-19%
Goals conceded vs average+19%-10%
Our expected goals here1.090.93

Our own ratings from every Primera B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBarranquilla to win ✗39%2.532.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72%1.391.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.901.80
Draw no betBarranquilla (draw no bet)55%1.82–
Asian handicapBogota FC +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓65%1.541.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓60%1.671.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.261.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.07–
First team to scoreBarranquilla to score first47%2.12–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓48%2.07–
Half-time / full-timeHT Barranquilla / FT Barranquilla ✗22%4.52–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%13.09–

Recent results

Barranquilla – last 4

LLWL
12 Mar@ Ind. Yumbo0–1L
4 Marvs Union Magdalena1–3L
26 Feb@ Popayan2–0W
17 Feb@ Quindio0–1L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Bogota FC – last 4

LDWW
11 Marvs Tigres FC0–1L
5 Mar@ Ind. Yumbo1–1D
27 Febvs Depor FC1–0W
22 Febvs Popayan2–1W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Barranquilla and Bogota FC.

Barranquilla vs Bogota FC head-to-head page →

Primera B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Envigado4219149+2171
2Quindio3920109+1370
3Real Cartagena41171410+1765
4Union Magdalena4017149+1665
5Internacional Palmira3617109+1061
6Tigres FC39131412+653
7Ind. Yumbo3412139+649
8Bogota FC36101412-644
9Real Cundinamarca33101211+142
10Popayan34101113-441
11Barranquilla36101016-440
12Patriotas309813-1035
13Orsomarso3081012-734
14Depor FC306915-1627
15Real Santander3051213-1727
16Leones FC305916-2624

More Primera B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Barranquilla vs Bogota FC?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Barranquilla vs Bogota FC?

On our numbers Barranquilla have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Bogota FC 32%.

How many goals will there be in Barranquilla vs Bogota FC?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Barranquilla vs Bogota FC?

Our predicted score is Barranquilla 1–0 Bogota FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Barranquilla vs Bogota FC?

Barranquilla vs Bogota FC (Primera B) kicks off on Monday 16 March 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Romelio Martinez.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.