Envigado 60%Draw 27%Bogota FC 14%Expected goals 1.42 – 0.60
80%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultEnvigado to win ✗60% · @1.40
Double chanceEnvigado or draw ✗86% · @1.03
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.33
Envigado vs Bogota FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Envigado welcome Bogota FC to Estadio Polideportivo Sur for a Primera B fixture on Wednesday 25 March (21:00 WAT). In the table, Envigado are 1st, leading the league, on 7 points after 4 matches; Bogota FC are 10th (in the drop zone) with 18.
Current form
Envigado, last 4: DWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Real Cartagena, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Bogota FC, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Quindio, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Envigado 1.4 xG, Bogota FC 0.6 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Envigado 60%, draw 27%, Bogota FC 14%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Envigado 1–0 Bogota FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Envigado60%fair 1.67 · @1.40
Draw27%fair 3.75 · @3.95
Bogota FC14%fair 7.40 · @7.40
2.02Expected goals
1.42Envigado xG
0.60Bogota FC xG
48%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
2–013%
0–013%
1–111%
2–18%
0–18%
From our goals model: Envigado 1.4 – 0.6 Bogota FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Envigado
Bogota FC
Attack vs Primera B average
+14%
-19%
Goals conceded vs average
-21%
-10%
Our expected goals here
1.19
0.62
Our own ratings from every Primera B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Envigado to win✗
60%
1.67
1.40
Double chance
Envigado or draw✗
86%
1.16
1.03
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.57
Draw no bet
Envigado (draw no bet)✗
82%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Bogota FC +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.53
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.77 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Envigado to score first✓
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Envigado / FT Envigado✗
34%
2.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.33
–
Recent results
Envigado – last 4
DWWL
16 Mar
vs Real Cartagena
1–1
D
11 Mar
@ Leones FC
3–0
W
5 Mar
vs Popayan
1–0
W
24 Feb
vs Quindio
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Bogota FC – last 6
LDLDWW
20 Mar
vs Quindio
0–2
L
16 Mar
@ Barranquilla
1–1
D
11 Mar
vs Tigres FC
0–1
L
5 Mar
@ Ind. Yumbo
1–1
D
27 Feb
vs Depor FC
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Popayan
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Envigado and Bogota FC.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Envigado vs Bogota FC?
On our numbers Envigado have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Bogota FC 14%.
How many goals will there be in Envigado vs Bogota FC?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Envigado vs Bogota FC?
Our predicted score is Envigado 1–0 Bogota FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Envigado vs Bogota FC?
Envigado vs Bogota FC (Primera B) kicks off on Wednesday 25 March 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Polideportivo Sur.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
