Barranquilla vs Leones FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Barranquilla welcome Leones FC to Estadio Romelio Martinez for a Primera B fixture on Wednesday 25 March (23:00 WAT). In the table, Barranquilla are 15th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 15 matches; Leones FC are 16th (in the drop zone) with 14. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Barranquilla, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Bogota FC, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Leones FC, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Internacional Palmira, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Barranquilla 1.6 xG, Leones FC 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Barranquilla 55%, draw 26%, Leones FC 19%.
Lower-risk option: Barranquilla or draw (81%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barranquilla 1–0 Leones FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Barranquilla55%fair 1.82 · @1.90
Draw26%fair 3.80 · @3.20
Leones FC19%fair 5.34 · @4.00
2.47Expected goals
1.61Barranquilla xG
0.86Leones FC xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Barranquilla 1.6 – 0.9 Leones FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Barranquilla
Leones FC
Attack vs Primera B average
+4%
-22%
Goals conceded vs average
+19%
+31%
Our expected goals here
1.59
0.89
Our own ratings from every Primera B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barranquilla to win✓
55%
1.82
1.90
Double chance
Barranquilla or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.85
Draw no bet
Barranquilla (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Leones FC +1 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.80
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
First team to score
Barranquilla to score first✓
60%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barranquilla / FT Barranquilla✓
33%
2.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.61
–
Recent results
Barranquilla – last 5
DLLWL
16 Mar
vs Bogota FC
1–1
D
12 Mar
@ Ind. Yumbo
0–1
L
4 Mar
vs Union Magdalena
1–3
L
26 Feb
@ Popayan
2–0
W
17 Feb
@ Quindio
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Leones FC – last 5
LLDLW
21 Mar
vs Internacional Palmira
1–2
L
11 Mar
vs Envigado
0–3
L
3 Mar
@ Depor FC
0–0
D
27 Feb
vs Ind. Yumbo
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ Real Cartagena
3–2
W
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barranquilla and Leones FC.
What is the prediction for Barranquilla vs Leones FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Barranquilla vs Leones FC?
On our numbers Barranquilla have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Leones FC 19%.
How many goals will there be in Barranquilla vs Leones FC?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barranquilla vs Leones FC?
Our predicted score is Barranquilla 1–0 Leones FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Barranquilla vs Leones FC?
Barranquilla vs Leones FC (Primera B) kicks off on Wednesday 25 March 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Romelio Martinez.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
