Bogota FC 41%Draw 30%Orsomarso 29%Expected goals 1.12 – 0.86
81%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultBogota FC to win ✓41% · @2.05
Double chanceBogota FC or draw ✓71% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.42
Bogota FC vs Orsomarso: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 13 April the Primera B brings Bogota FC against Orsomarso at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo. Kick-off: 21:00 WAT. In the table, Bogota FC are 10th, lower half, on 18 points after 15 matches; Orsomarso are 13th (lower half) with 17. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Bogota FC, last 5: DWLDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Real Soacha, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Orsomarso, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Internacional Palmira, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Bogota FC, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for Orsomarso.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bogota FC 1.1 xG, Orsomarso 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bogota FC 41%, draw 30%, Orsomarso 29%.
Lower-risk option: Bogota FC or draw (71%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bogota FC 1–0 Orsomarso. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bogota FC41%fair 2.43 · @2.05
Draw30%fair 3.36 · @3.10
Orsomarso29%fair 3.44 · @3.55
1.98Expected goals
1.12Bogota FC xG
0.86Orsomarso xG
54%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Bogota FC 1.1 – 0.9 Orsomarso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Bogota FC
Orsomarso
Attack vs Primera B average
-19%
-21%
Goals conceded vs average
-10%
+1%
Our expected goals here
0.95
0.69
Our own ratings from every Primera B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bogota FC to win✓
41%
2.43
2.05
Double chance
Bogota FC or draw✓
71%
1.41
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.85
Draw no bet
Bogota FC (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.71
–
Asian handicap
Orsomarso +1 (Asian handicap)✗
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
Bogota FC to score first✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bogota FC / FT Bogota FC✓
24%
4.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
13.42
–
Recent results
Bogota FC – last 6
DWLDLD
1 Apr
vs Real Soacha
2–2
D
25 Mar
@ Envigado
2–1
W
20 Mar
vs Quindio
0–2
L
16 Mar
@ Barranquilla
1–1
D
11 Mar
vs Tigres FC
0–1
L
5 Mar
@ Ind. Yumbo
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Orsomarso – last 6
LDDLLD
31 Mar
vs Internacional Palmira
1–2
L
27 Mar
@ Quindio
2–2
D
11 Mar
@ Depor FC
1–1
D
7 Mar
@ Real Cartagena
0–4
L
22 Feb
@ Real Soacha
0–1
L
18 Feb
@ Popayan
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bogota FC and Orsomarso.
What is the prediction for Bogota FC vs Orsomarso?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Bogota FC vs Orsomarso?
On our numbers Bogota FC have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Orsomarso 29%.
How many goals will there be in Bogota FC vs Orsomarso?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bogota FC vs Orsomarso?
Our predicted score is Bogota FC 1–0 Orsomarso, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Bogota FC vs Orsomarso?
Bogota FC vs Orsomarso (Primera B) kicks off on Monday 13 April 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
