Union Magdalena 49%Draw 29%Internacional Palmira 22%Expected goals 1.45 – 0.89
78%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultUnion Magdalena to win ✗49% · @1.91
Double chanceUnion Magdalena or draw ✗78% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.10
Union Magdalena vs Internacional Palmira: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Internacional Palmira travel to face Union Magdalena on Monday 13 April in the Primera B, with Estadio Sierra Nevada the venue – the ball rolls at 22:00 WAT. In the table, Union Magdalena are 3rd, among the top four, on 4 points after 4 matches; Internacional Palmira are 14th (in the drop zone) with 16. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Union Magdalena, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Envigado, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Internacional Palmira, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Orsomarso, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Union Magdalena 1.4 xG, Internacional Palmira 0.9 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Union Magdalena 49%, draw 29%, Internacional Palmira 22%.
Lower-risk option: Union Magdalena or draw (78%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union Magdalena 1–0 Internacional Palmira. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Union Magdalena49%fair 2.02 · @1.91
Draw29%fair 3.45 · @3.10
Internacional Palmira22%fair 4.63 · @3.90
2.34Expected goals
1.45Union Magdalena xG
0.89Internacional Palmira xG
55%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–010%
0–010%
2–19%
0–19%
From our goals model: Union Magdalena 1.4 – 0.9 Internacional Palmira expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Union Magdalena
Internacional Palmira
Attack vs Primera B average
+10%
-14%
Goals conceded vs average
-9%
-4%
Our expected goals here
1.21
0.76
Our own ratings from every Primera B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union Magdalena to win✗
49%
2.02
1.91
Double chance
Union Magdalena or draw✗
78%
1.28
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Union Magdalena (draw no bet)✗
70%
1.44
–
Asian handicap
Internacional Palmira +1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Union Magdalena to score first✗
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union Magdalena / FT Union Magdalena✗
30%
3.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.10
–
Recent results
Union Magdalena – last 6
WWWLWD
9 Apr
vs Envigado
4–2
W
30 Mar
@ Ind. Yumbo
2–0
W
26 Mar
vs Real Santander
2–0
W
23 Mar
@ Real Cartagena
1–2
L
16 Mar
vs Patriotas
2–1
W
11 Mar
vs Real Soacha
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Internacional Palmira – last 6
WWWWDD
31 Mar
@ Orsomarso
2–1
W
26 Mar
vs Tigres FC
2–1
W
21 Mar
@ Leones FC
2–1
W
17 Mar
vs Ind. Yumbo
1–0
W
11 Mar
@ Real Cartagena
2–2
D
5 Mar
@ Real Soacha
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union Magdalena and Internacional Palmira.
What is the prediction for Union Magdalena vs Internacional Palmira?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Union Magdalena vs Internacional Palmira?
On our numbers Union Magdalena have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Internacional Palmira 22%.
How many goals will there be in Union Magdalena vs Internacional Palmira?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Magdalena vs Internacional Palmira?
Our predicted score is Union Magdalena 1–0 Internacional Palmira, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Union Magdalena vs Internacional Palmira?
Union Magdalena vs Internacional Palmira (Primera B) kicks off on Monday 13 April 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Sierra Nevada.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
