Double chanceMes Shahr-e Babak or draw ✓73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.02
Navad Urmia vs Mes Shahr-e Babak: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mes Shahr-e Babak travel to face Navad Urmia on Sunday 15 February in the Azadegan League – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Navad Urmia 0.9 xG, Mes Shahr-e Babak 1.2 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Navad Urmia 27%, draw 28%, Mes Shahr-e Babak 44%.
Lower-risk option: Mes Shahr-e Babak or draw (73%) at 1.25.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Mes Shahr-e Babak or draw (73%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Navad Urmia 0–1 Mes Shahr-e Babak. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Navad Urmia27%fair 3.66 · @3.60
Draw28%fair 3.54 · @2.75
Mes Shahr-e Babak44%fair 2.25 · @2.10
2.14Expected goals
0.93Navad Urmia xG
1.22Mes Shahr-e Babak xG
43%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–012%
1–011%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Navad Urmia 0.9 – 1.2 Mes Shahr-e Babak expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mes Shahr-e Babak to win✗
44%
2.25
2.10
Double chance
Mes Shahr-e Babak or draw✓
73%
1.38
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
–
Draw no bet
Mes Shahr-e Babak (draw no bet)
62%
1.62
–
Asian handicap
Navad Urmia +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
60%
1.68
1.60
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Mes Shahr-e Babak to score first✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mes Shahr-e Babak / FT Mes Shahr-e Babak✗
24%
4.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.02
–
Recent results
Navad Urmia
No recent results on record.
Mes Shahr-e Babak
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Navad Urmia and Mes Shahr-e Babak.
What is the prediction for Navad Urmia vs Mes Shahr-e Babak?
Our pick is Mes Shahr-e Babak or draw with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Navad Urmia vs Mes Shahr-e Babak?
On our numbers Navad Urmia have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Mes Shahr-e Babak 44%.
How many goals will there be in Navad Urmia vs Mes Shahr-e Babak?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Navad Urmia vs Mes Shahr-e Babak?
Our predicted score is Navad Urmia 0–1 Mes Shahr-e Babak, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Navad Urmia vs Mes Shahr-e Babak?
Navad Urmia vs Mes Shahr-e Babak (Azadegan League) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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