Value bet: Fard Alborz to win @ 2.65 – our chance 40% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFard Alborz to win ✓40% · @2.65
Double chanceFard Alborz or draw ✓73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓65% · fair 1.54
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓19% · fair 5.27
Fard Alborz vs Ario Eslamshahr: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:30 WAT, Sunday 15 February: Fard Alborz v Ario Eslamshahr in the Azadegan League. In the table, Fard Alborz are 3rd, among the top four, on 17 points after 9 matches; Ario Eslamshahr are 7th (upper half) with 13.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fard Alborz 0.9 xG, Ario Eslamshahr 0.7 xG – a total near 1.6. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 78% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fard Alborz 40%, draw 32%, Ario Eslamshahr 27%.
Lower-risk option: Fard Alborz or draw (73%) at 1.25.
Price worth noting: Fard Alborz to win @2.65 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Fard Alborz or draw (73%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fard Alborz 0–0 Ario Eslamshahr. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fard Alborz40%fair 2.47 · @2.65
Draw32%fair 3.12 · @2.35
Ario Eslamshahr27%fair 3.64 · @3.10
1.60Expected goals
0.94Fard Alborz xG
0.66Ario Eslamshahr xG
35%Both score
22%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–020%
1–019%
0–113%
1–113%
2–09%
2–16%
From our goals model: Fard Alborz 0.9 – 0.7 Ario Eslamshahr expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fard Alborz to win✓
40%
2.47
2.65 ▲
Double chance
Fard Alborz or draw✓
73%
1.38
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
65%
1.54
–
Draw no bet
Fard Alborz (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.68
–
Asian handicap
Ario Eslamshahr +1 (Asian handicap)
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.67
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
First team to score
Fard Alborz to score first✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
56%
1.80
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
27%
3.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
19%
5.27
–
Recent results
Fard Alborz
No recent results on record.
Ario Eslamshahr
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fard Alborz and Ario Eslamshahr.
What is the prediction for Fard Alborz vs Ario Eslamshahr?
Our pick is Fard Alborz or draw with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Fard Alborz vs Ario Eslamshahr?
On our numbers Fard Alborz have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Ario Eslamshahr 27%.
How many goals will there be in Fard Alborz vs Ario Eslamshahr?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 22% likely and both teams score 35% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fard Alborz vs Ario Eslamshahr?
Our predicted score is Fard Alborz 0–0 Ario Eslamshahr, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.
When is Fard Alborz vs Ario Eslamshahr?
Fard Alborz vs Ario Eslamshahr (Azadegan League) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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