Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultVélez Sársfield Res. to win ✓61% · @1.62
Double chanceVélez Sársfield Res. or draw ✓87% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗19% · fair 5.34
Ferro 2 vs Vélez Sársfield Res.: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ferro 2 welcome Vélez Sársfield Res. for a Reserve League fixture on Wednesday 22 April (19:00 WAT). In the table, Ferro 2 are 36th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 16 matches; Vélez Sársfield Res. are 3rd (among the top four) with 33. There are 25 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Ferro 2, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Platense Res., away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Vélez Sársfield Res., last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Aldosivi Res., at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Vélez Sársfield Res., collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.3 for Ferro 2.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ferro 2 0.5 xG, Vélez Sársfield Res. 1.7 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ferro 2 13%, draw 25%, Vélez Sársfield Res. 61%.
Lower-risk option: Vélez Sársfield Res. or draw (87%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Vélez Sársfield Res. to win (61%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ferro 2 0–1 Vélez Sársfield Res.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ferro 213%fair 7.46 · @5.00
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.25
Vélez Sársfield Res.61%fair 1.63 · @1.62
2.18Expected goals
0.53Ferro 2 xG
1.65Vélez Sársfield Res. xG
49%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–119%
0–215%
0–011%
1–110%
0–38%
1–28%
From our goals model: Ferro 2 0.5 – 1.7 Vélez Sársfield Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Ferro 2
Vélez Sársfield Res.
Attack vs Reserve League average
-35%
+18%
Goals conceded vs average
+12%
-59%
Our expected goals here
0.37
1.49
Our own ratings from every Reserve League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vélez Sársfield Res. to win✓
61%
1.63
1.62
Double chance
Vélez Sársfield Res. or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.14
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.67
Draw no bet
Vélez Sársfield Res. (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Vélez Sársfield Res. -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Vélez Sársfield Res. to score first✓
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vélez Sársfield Res. / FT Vélez Sársfield Res.✓
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
19%
5.34
–
Recent results
Ferro 2 – last 6
DLWWLD
15 Apr
@ Platense Res.
1–1
D
7 Apr
vs Quilmes 2
0–2
L
1 Apr
@ Estudiantes La Plata Res
1–0
W
26 Mar
vs Central Córdoba SdE Res.
3–1
W
19 Mar
@ San Martín San Juan Res.
1–2
L
3 Mar
vs Independiente Riva. Res.
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Vélez Sársfield Res. – last 6
WWWWWL
15 Apr
vs Aldosivi Res.
4–0
W
8 Apr
@ Gimnasia La Plata Res.
1–0
W
1 Apr
vs Unión Santa Fe Res.
4–0
W
27 Mar
@ Atlético Tucumán Res.
2–0
W
19 Mar
vs Godoy Cruz Res.
3–1
W
3 Mar
@ Gimnasia Mendoza 2
0–1
L
2.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ferro 2 and Vélez Sársfield Res..
What is the prediction for Ferro 2 vs Vélez Sársfield Res.?
Our pick is Vélez Sársfield Res. to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Ferro 2 vs Vélez Sársfield Res.?
On our numbers Ferro 2 have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Vélez Sársfield Res. 61%.
How many goals will there be in Ferro 2 vs Vélez Sársfield Res.?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ferro 2 vs Vélez Sársfield Res.?
Our predicted score is Ferro 2 0–1 Vélez Sársfield Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Ferro 2 vs Vélez Sársfield Res.?
Ferro 2 vs Vélez Sársfield Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
