Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
1
Value bet: Independiente Res. to win @ 2.00 – our chance 53% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultIndependiente Res. to win ✗53% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.80
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.36
Independiente Res. vs Racing Club Res.: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 22 April the Reserve League brings Independiente Res. against Racing Club Res.. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT. In the table, Independiente Res. are 1st, leading the league, on 37 points after 16 matches; Racing Club Res. are 25th (lower half) with 17. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Independiente Res., last 5: WWDDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Colón Res., away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Racing Club Res., last 5: DLWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sarmiento Res., at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Independiente Res. 2.2 xG, Racing Club Res. 1.2 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 67% and GG at 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Independiente Res. 53%, draw 23%, Racing Club Res. 24%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Independiente Res. to win @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.70, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Independiente Res. 2–1 Racing Club Res.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Independiente Res.53%fair 1.89 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.00
Racing Club Res.24%fair 4.11 · @3.25
3.43Expected goals
2.20Independiente Res. xG
1.22Racing Club Res. xG
59%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–07%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Independiente Res. 2.2 – 1.2 Racing Club Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Independiente Res.
Racing Club Res.
Attack vs Reserve League average
+57%
+29%
Goals conceded vs average
-22%
+24%
Our expected goals here
2.66
1.13
Our own ratings from every Reserve League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente Res. to win✗
53%
1.89
2.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.80 ▲
Draw no bet
Independiente Res. (draw no bet)✗
69%
1.46
–
Asian handicap
Racing Club Res. +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
First team to score
Independiente Res. to score first
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Independiente Res. ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente Res. / FT Independiente Res.✗
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.36
–
Recent results
Independiente Res. – last 6
WWDDLW
14 Apr
@ Colón Res.
2–0
W
7 Apr
vs Atl. Rafaela 2
3–2
W
31 Mar
@ Platense Res.
2–2
D
26 Mar
vs Quilmes 2
1–1
D
19 Mar
@ Estudiantes La Plata Res
0–1
L
2 Mar
vs Central Córdoba SdE Res.
5–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Racing Club Res. – last 6
DLWWDW
14 Apr
vs Sarmiento Res.
1–1
D
9 Apr
@ Argentinos Juniors Res.
0–1
L
30 Mar
vs Aldosivi Res.
1–0
W
25 Mar
@ Gimnasia La Plata Res.
3–2
W
18 Mar
vs Unión Santa Fe Res.
1–1
D
17 Feb
vs Godoy Cruz Res.
4–2
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Independiente Res. and Racing Club Res..
What is the prediction for Independiente Res. vs Racing Club Res.?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Independiente Res. vs Racing Club Res.?
On our numbers Independiente Res. have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Racing Club Res. 24%.
How many goals will there be in Independiente Res. vs Racing Club Res.?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Independiente Res. vs Racing Club Res.?
Our predicted score is Independiente Res. 2–1 Racing Club Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Independiente Res. vs Racing Club Res.?
Independiente Res. vs Racing Club Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
