ResultEstudiantes La Plata Res to win ✗44% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.49
Estudiantes La Plata Res vs Newell's Old Boys Res.: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Newell's Old Boys Res. travel to face Estudiantes La Plata Res on Thursday 7 May in the Reserve League – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Estudiantes La Plata Res are 4th, among the top four, on 32 points after 17 matches; Newell's Old Boys Res. are 19th (lower half) with 20. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Estudiantes La Plata Res, last 5: DWDLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Defensa y Justicia Res., away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Newell's Old Boys Res., last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Central Córdoba SdE Res., at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Newell's Old Boys Res., collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Estudiantes La Plata Res.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Estudiantes La Plata Res 1.4 xG, Newell's Old Boys Res. 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Estudiantes La Plata Res 44%, draw 27%, Newell's Old Boys Res. 28%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (50%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Estudiantes La Plata Res 1–1 Newell's Old Boys Res.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Estudiantes La Plata Res44%fair 2.25 · @2.15
Draw27%fair 3.67 · @2.80
Newell's Old Boys Res.28%fair 3.53 · @3.25
2.31Expected goals
1.36Estudiantes La Plata Res xG
0.96Newell's Old Boys Res. xG
50%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–113%
0–010%
0–19%
2–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Estudiantes La Plata Res 1.4 – 1.0 Newell's Old Boys Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Estudiantes La Plata Res
Newell's Old Boys Res.
Attack vs Reserve League average
+40%
+11%
Goals conceded vs average
-16%
-16%
Our expected goals here
1.61
1.04
Our own ratings from every Reserve League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Estudiantes La Plata Res to win✗
44%
2.25
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.98
1.85
Draw no bet
Estudiantes La Plata Res (draw no bet)✗
61%
1.64
–
Asian handicap
Newell's Old Boys Res. +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.09
–
First team to score
Estudiantes La Plata Res to score first✗
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Estudiantes La Plata Res / FT Estudiantes La Plata Res✗
27%
3.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.49
–
Recent results
Estudiantes La Plata Res – last 6
DWDLLL
28 Apr
@ Defensa y Justicia Res.
2–2
D
22 Apr
vs Gimnasia La Plata Res.
1–0
W
17 Apr
vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2
0–0
D
9 Apr
@ Huracán Res.
0–1
L
1 Apr
vs Ferro 2
0–1
L
26 Mar
@ Boca Juniors Res.
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Newell's Old Boys Res. – last 6
WDLWWW
28 Apr
vs Central Córdoba SdE Res.
1–0
W
21 Apr
@ Rosario Central Res.
3–3
D
14 Apr
@ San Martín San Juan Res.
1–2
L
8 Apr
vs Independiente Riva. Res.
2–0
W
31 Mar
@ Deportivo Riestra Res.
1–0
W
25 Mar
vs Belgrano Córdoba Res.
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estudiantes La Plata Res and Newell's Old Boys Res..
What is the prediction for Estudiantes La Plata Res vs Newell's Old Boys Res.?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Estudiantes La Plata Res vs Newell's Old Boys Res.?
On our numbers Estudiantes La Plata Res have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Newell's Old Boys Res. 28%.
How many goals will there be in Estudiantes La Plata Res vs Newell's Old Boys Res.?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estudiantes La Plata Res vs Newell's Old Boys Res.?
Our predicted score is Estudiantes La Plata Res 1–1 Newell's Old Boys Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Estudiantes La Plata Res vs Newell's Old Boys Res.?
Estudiantes La Plata Res vs Newell's Old Boys Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Thursday 7 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
