Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
2
Value bet: Deportivo Riestra Res. to win @ 3.30 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultIndependiente Riva. Res. to win ✗40% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.85
Independiente Riva. Res. vs Deportivo Riestra Res.: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Thursday 7 May: Independiente Riva. Res. v Deportivo Riestra Res. in the Reserve League. In the table, Independiente Riva. Res. are 18th, upper half, on 21 points after 17 matches; Deportivo Riestra Res. are 10th (upper half) with 27.
Current form
Independiente Riva. Res., last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Belgrano Córdoba Res., away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Deportivo Riestra Res., last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Colón Res., at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Independiente Riva. Res. 1.5 xG, Deportivo Riestra Res. 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Independiente Riva. Res. 40%, draw 26%, Deportivo Riestra Res. 34%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Deportivo Riestra Res. to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.67, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Independiente Riva. Res. 1–1 Deportivo Riestra Res.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Independiente Riva. Res.40%fair 2.51 · @2.10
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @2.90
Deportivo Riestra Res.34%fair 2.94 · @3.30
2.91Expected goals
1.46Independiente Riva. Res. xG
1.45Deportivo Riestra Res. xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–18%
1–28%
1–08%
0–18%
2–26%
From our goals model: Independiente Riva. Res. 1.5 – 1.4 Deportivo Riestra Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Independiente Riva. Res.
Deportivo Riestra Res.
Attack vs Reserve League average
+16%
+21%
Goals conceded vs average
+25%
-4%
Our expected goals here
1.53
1.69
Our own ratings from every Reserve League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente Riva. Res. to win✗
40%
2.51
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.80 ▲
Draw no bet
Independiente Riva. Res. (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
Deportivo Riestra Res. +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
Independiente Riva. Res. to score first
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente Riva. Res. / FT Independiente Riva. Res.✗
22%
4.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.85
–
Recent results
Independiente Riva. Res. – last 6
LWDLLD
29 Apr
@ Belgrano Córdoba Res.
1–4
L
23 Apr
@ Gimnasia Mendoza 2
1–0
W
14 Apr
vs Lanús Res.
1–1
D
8 Apr
@ Newell's Old Boys Res.
0–2
L
31 Mar
vs Defensa y Justicia Res.
2–3
L
26 Mar
@ Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Deportivo Riestra Res. – last 6
DLWLLD
30 Apr
vs Colón Res.
1–1
D
23 Apr
@ Barracas Central Res.
0–1
L
15 Apr
vs Belgrano Córdoba Res.
3–0
W
7 Apr
@ Lanús Res.
2–3
L
31 Mar
vs Newell's Old Boys Res.
0–1
L
26 Mar
@ Defensa y Justicia Res.
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Independiente Riva. Res. and Deportivo Riestra Res..
What is the prediction for Independiente Riva. Res. vs Deportivo Riestra Res.?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Independiente Riva. Res. vs Deportivo Riestra Res.?
On our numbers Independiente Riva. Res. have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Deportivo Riestra Res. 34%.
How many goals will there be in Independiente Riva. Res. vs Deportivo Riestra Res.?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Independiente Riva. Res. vs Deportivo Riestra Res.?
Our predicted score is Independiente Riva. Res. 1–1 Deportivo Riestra Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Independiente Riva. Res. vs Deportivo Riestra Res.?
Independiente Riva. Res. vs Deportivo Riestra Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Thursday 7 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
