Alianza Atletico vs Alianza Lima: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Alianza Atletico welcome Alianza Lima to Estadio Campeones del 36 for a Primera División fixture on Sunday 15 February (02:00 WAT). In the table, Alianza Atletico are 7th, upper half, on 28 points after 16 matches; Alianza Lima are 6th (upper half) with 29. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alianza Atletico 1.0 xG, Alianza Lima 1.4 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alianza Atletico 25%, draw 26%, Alianza Lima 49%.
Lower-risk option: Alianza Lima or draw (75%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Alianza Lima or draw (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alianza Atletico 1–1 Alianza Lima. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alianza Atletico25%fair 3.95 · @3.90
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @3.10
Alianza Lima49%fair 2.06 · @1.91
2.40Expected goals
1.03Alianza Atletico xG
1.36Alianza Lima xG
52%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
0–09%
1–29%
0–28%
From our goals model: Alianza Atletico 1.0 – 1.4 Alianza Lima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Alianza Atletico
Alianza Lima
Attack vs Primera División average
+10%
+7%
Goals conceded vs average
+20%
-31%
Our expected goals here
1.33
1.45
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alianza Lima to win✗
49%
2.06
1.91
Double chance
Alianza Lima or draw✓
75%
1.34
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
2.00
Draw no bet
Alianza Lima (draw no bet)
66%
1.52
–
Asian handicap
Alianza Atletico +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Alianza Lima to score first✗
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alianza Lima / FT Alianza Lima✗
26%
3.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.44
–
Recent results
Alianza Atletico
No recent results on record.
Alianza Lima
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alianza Atletico and Alianza Lima.
What is the prediction for Alianza Atletico vs Alianza Lima?
Our pick is Alianza Lima or draw with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Alianza Atletico vs Alianza Lima?
On our numbers Alianza Atletico have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Alianza Lima 49%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza Atletico vs Alianza Lima?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza Atletico vs Alianza Lima?
Our predicted score is Alianza Atletico 1–1 Alianza Lima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Alianza Atletico vs Alianza Lima?
Alianza Atletico vs Alianza Lima (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Campeones del 36.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
