Value bet: Comerciantes Unidos to win @ 2.20 – our chance 49% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultComerciantes Unidos to win ✗49% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.60
Comerciantes Unidos vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Comerciantes Unidos welcome Club Deportivo Los Chankas to Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra for a Primera División fixture on Sunday 15 February (21:15 WAT). In the table, Comerciantes Unidos are 13th, lower half, on 16 points after 16 matches; Club Deportivo Los Chankas are 15th (lower half) with 14. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Comerciantes Unidos 1.6 xG, Club Deportivo Los Chankas 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Comerciantes Unidos 49%, draw 24%, Club Deportivo Los Chankas 27%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Comerciantes Unidos to win @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 49%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Comerciantes Unidos 1–0 Club Deportivo Los Chankas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Comerciantes Unidos49%fair 2.03 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.20
Club Deportivo Los Chankas27%fair 3.70 · @3.00
2.48Expected goals
1.59Comerciantes Unidos xG
0.89Club Deportivo Los Chankas xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Comerciantes Unidos 1.6 – 0.9 Club Deportivo Los Chankas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Comerciantes Unidos
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Attack vs Primera División average
+2%
-28%
Goals conceded vs average
+2%
+16%
Our expected goals here
2.06
0.83
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Comerciantes Unidos to win✗
49%
2.03
2.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.65
Draw no bet
Comerciantes Unidos (draw no bet)
65%
1.55
–
Asian handicap
Club Deportivo Los Chankas +1 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Comerciantes Unidos to score first
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Comerciantes Unidos / FT Comerciantes Unidos✗
33%
3.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.60
–
Recent results
Comerciantes Unidos
No recent results on record.
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Comerciantes Unidos and Club Deportivo Los Chankas.
What is the prediction for Comerciantes Unidos vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Comerciantes Unidos vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?
On our numbers Comerciantes Unidos have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Club Deportivo Los Chankas 27%.
How many goals will there be in Comerciantes Unidos vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Comerciantes Unidos vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?
Our predicted score is Comerciantes Unidos 1–0 Club Deportivo Los Chankas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Comerciantes Unidos vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?
Comerciantes Unidos vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 21:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
