Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 52% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAlianza Atletico to win ✗58% · @1.80
Double chanceAlianza Atletico or draw ✓83% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.94
Alianza Atletico vs ADT: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Alianza Atletico welcome ADT to Estadio Campeones del 36 for a Primera División fixture on Friday 27 February (21:00 WAT). In the table, Alianza Atletico are 7th, upper half, on 28 points after 16 matches; ADT are 16th (in the drop zone) with 12. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alianza Atletico 1.6 xG, ADT 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alianza Atletico 58%, draw 24%, ADT 17%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alianza Atletico 2–0 ADT. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alianza Atletico58%fair 1.71 · @1.80
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.00
ADT17%fair 5.85 · @4.60
2.34Expected goals
1.59Alianza Atletico xG
0.76ADT xG
52%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–012%
1–112%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Alianza Atletico 1.6 – 0.8 ADT expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Alianza Atletico
ADT
Attack vs Primera División average
+10%
-23%
Goals conceded vs average
+20%
+7%
Our expected goals here
2.05
1.04
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alianza Atletico to win✗
58%
1.71
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Alianza Atletico or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
Alianza Atletico (draw no bet)
77%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
ADT +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Alianza Atletico to score first✗
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alianza Atletico / FT Alianza Atletico✗
35%
2.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.94
–
Recent results
Alianza Atletico – last 2
DD
22 Feb
@ Cienciano
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Alianza Lima
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
ADT – last 1
D
22 Feb
vs UTC Cajamarca
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alianza Atletico and ADT.
What is the prediction for Alianza Atletico vs ADT?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Alianza Atletico vs ADT?
On our numbers Alianza Atletico have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and ADT 17%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza Atletico vs ADT?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza Atletico vs ADT?
Our predicted score is Alianza Atletico 2–0 ADT, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Alianza Atletico vs ADT?
Alianza Atletico vs ADT (Primera División) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Campeones del 36.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
