Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 54% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFBC Melgar to win ✗70% · @1.36
Double chanceFBC Melgar or draw ✗89% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.72
FBC Melgar vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Club Deportivo Los Chankas travel to face FBC Melgar on Friday 27 February in the Primera División, with Estadio de la UNSA the venue – the ball rolls at 23:45 WAT. In the table, FBC Melgar are 5th, upper half, on 29 points after 16 matches; Club Deportivo Los Chankas are 15th (lower half) with 14. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FBC Melgar 2.2 xG, Club Deportivo Los Chankas 0.7 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FBC Melgar 70%, draw 19%, Club Deportivo Los Chankas 11%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: FBC Melgar 2–0 Club Deportivo Los Chankas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FBC Melgar70%fair 1.43 · @1.36
Draw19%fair 5.20 · @4.33
Club Deportivo Los Chankas11%fair 9.40 · @6.80
2.89Expected goals
2.19FBC Melgar xG
0.70Club Deportivo Los Chankas xG
54%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–012%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: FBC Melgar 2.2 – 0.7 Club Deportivo Los Chankas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
FBC Melgar
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Attack vs Primera División average
+13%
-28%
Goals conceded vs average
-16%
+16%
Our expected goals here
2.28
0.68
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FBC Melgar to win✗
70%
1.43
1.36
Double chance
FBC Melgar or draw✗
89%
1.12
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
FBC Melgar (draw no bet)✗
87%
1.15
–
Asian handicap
FBC Melgar -1 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
FBC Melgar to score first✓
72%
1.40
–
Half-time result
FBC Melgar ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FBC Melgar / FT FBC Melgar✗
47%
2.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.72
–
Recent results
FBC Melgar – last 1
W
16 Feb
vs UCV Moquegua
4–0
W
4.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Club Deportivo Los Chankas – last 2
WD
22 Feb
vs Sport Huancayo
3–2
W
15 Feb
@ Comerciantes Unidos
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FBC Melgar and Club Deportivo Los Chankas.
What is the prediction for FBC Melgar vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win FBC Melgar vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?
On our numbers FBC Melgar have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Club Deportivo Los Chankas 11%.
How many goals will there be in FBC Melgar vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FBC Melgar vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?
Our predicted score is FBC Melgar 2–0 Club Deportivo Los Chankas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is FBC Melgar vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?
FBC Melgar vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas (Primera División) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 23:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de la UNSA.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
