Comerciantes Unidos 47%Draw 26%Atletico Grau 27%Expected goals 1.44 – 0.92
66%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultComerciantes Unidos to win ✓47% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.12
Comerciantes Unidos vs Atletico Grau: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 1 March the Primera División brings Comerciantes Unidos against Atletico Grau at Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Comerciantes Unidos are 13th, lower half, on 16 points after 16 matches; Atletico Grau are 11th (lower half) with 21.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Comerciantes Unidos 1.4 xG, Atletico Grau 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Comerciantes Unidos 47%, draw 26%, Atletico Grau 27%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.93.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Comerciantes Unidos 1–1 Atletico Grau. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Comerciantes Unidos47%fair 2.14 · @2.25
Draw26%fair 3.79 · @3.00
Atletico Grau27%fair 3.71 · @3.20
2.36Expected goals
1.44Comerciantes Unidos xG
0.92Atletico Grau xG
52%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
2–010%
0–09%
2–19%
0–19%
From our goals model: Comerciantes Unidos 1.4 – 0.9 Atletico Grau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Comerciantes Unidos
Atletico Grau
Attack vs Primera División average
+2%
-16%
Goals conceded vs average
+2%
-3%
Our expected goals here
1.73
0.96
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Comerciantes Unidos to win✓
47%
2.14
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.93
Draw no bet
Comerciantes Unidos (draw no bet)✓
63%
1.58
–
Asian handicap
Atletico Grau +1 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Comerciantes Unidos to score first✓
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Comerciantes Unidos / FT Comerciantes Unidos✓
29%
3.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.12
–
Recent results
Comerciantes Unidos – last 2
LD
23 Feb
@ Cusco
1–3
L
15 Feb
vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Atletico Grau – last 2
LL
22 Feb
vs Juan Pablo II College
1–2
L
14 Feb
@ Sport Boys
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Comerciantes Unidos and Atletico Grau.
What is the prediction for Comerciantes Unidos vs Atletico Grau?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Comerciantes Unidos vs Atletico Grau?
On our numbers Comerciantes Unidos have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Atletico Grau 27%.
How many goals will there be in Comerciantes Unidos vs Atletico Grau?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Comerciantes Unidos vs Atletico Grau?
Our predicted score is Comerciantes Unidos 1–1 Atletico Grau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Comerciantes Unidos vs Atletico Grau?
Comerciantes Unidos vs Atletico Grau (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
