Sport Boys 60%Draw 26%UCV Moquegua 14%Expected goals 1.56 – 0.58
79%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultSport Boys to win ✗60% · @1.60
Double chanceSport Boys or draw ✓86% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.06
Sport Boys vs UCV Moquegua: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
UCV Moquegua travel to face Sport Boys on Sunday 1 March in the Primera División, with Estadio Miguel Grau the venue – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT. In the table, Sport Boys are 8th, upper half, on 26 points after 16 matches; UCV Moquegua are 17th (in the drop zone) with 12. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sport Boys 1.6 xG, UCV Moquegua 0.6 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sport Boys 60%, draw 26%, UCV Moquegua 14%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sport Boys 1–0 UCV Moquegua. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sport Boys60%fair 1.67 · @1.60
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.50
UCV Moquegua14%fair 7.20 · @5.25
2.14Expected goals
1.56Sport Boys xG
0.58UCV Moquegua xG
52%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
2–014%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: Sport Boys 1.6 – 0.6 UCV Moquegua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Sport Boys
UCV Moquegua
Attack vs Primera División average
-12%
-42%
Goals conceded vs average
-23%
-3%
Our expected goals here
1.48
0.51
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sport Boys to win✗
60%
1.67
1.60
Double chance
Sport Boys or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
2.00
Draw no bet
Sport Boys (draw no bet)
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Sport Boys -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Sport Boys to score first✗
64%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sport Boys / FT Sport Boys✗
38%
2.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.06
–
Recent results
Sport Boys – last 2
LW
21 Feb
@ Alianza Lima
0–1
L
14 Feb
vs Atletico Grau
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
UCV Moquegua – last 2
WL
23 Feb
vs Deportivo Garcilaso
1–0
W
16 Feb
@ FBC Melgar
0–4
L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sport Boys and UCV Moquegua.
What is the prediction for Sport Boys vs UCV Moquegua?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sport Boys vs UCV Moquegua?
On our numbers Sport Boys have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 26% and UCV Moquegua 14%.
How many goals will there be in Sport Boys vs UCV Moquegua?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sport Boys vs UCV Moquegua?
Our predicted score is Sport Boys 1–0 UCV Moquegua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Sport Boys vs UCV Moquegua?
Sport Boys vs UCV Moquegua (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Miguel Grau.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
