Value bet: Deportivo Garcilaso to win @ 2.75 – our chance 46% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDeportivo Garcilaso to win ✗46% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.36
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cienciano: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
02:15 WAT, Saturday 28 February: Deportivo Garcilaso v Cienciano in the Primera División, played at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega. In the table, Deportivo Garcilaso are 4th, among the top four, on 29 points after 16 matches; Cienciano are 12th (lower half) with 17. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Garcilaso 1.7 xG, Cienciano 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Garcilaso 46%, draw 24%, Cienciano 29%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Deportivo Garcilaso to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 46%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Garcilaso 1–1 Cienciano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportivo Garcilaso46%fair 2.17 · @2.75
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.10
Cienciano29%fair 3.40 · @2.45
2.71Expected goals
1.67Deportivo Garcilaso xG
1.04Cienciano xG
60%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–07%
From our goals model: Deportivo Garcilaso 1.7 – 1.0 Cienciano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Deportivo Garcilaso
Cienciano
Attack vs Primera División average
+16%
-4%
Goals conceded vs average
-15%
+1%
Our expected goals here
2.05
0.92
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Garcilaso to win✗
46%
2.17
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.70
Draw no bet
Deportivo Garcilaso (draw no bet)✗
61%
1.64
–
Asian handicap
Cienciano +1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Deportivo Garcilaso to score first✗
58%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Garcilaso / FT Deportivo Garcilaso✗
32%
3.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.36
–
Recent results
Deportivo Garcilaso – last 1
L
23 Feb
@ UCV Moquegua
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Cienciano – last 2
DL
22 Feb
vs Alianza Atletico
1–1
D
14 Feb
@ Universitario
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Garcilaso and Cienciano.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cienciano?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cienciano?
On our numbers Deportivo Garcilaso have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Cienciano 29%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cienciano?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cienciano?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Garcilaso 1–1 Cienciano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cienciano?
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cienciano (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 02:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
