Deportivo Garcilaso 57%Draw 26%Sport Boys 17%Expected goals 1.47 – 0.72
81%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 51% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultDeportivo Garcilaso to win57% · @1.62
Double chanceDeportivo Garcilaso or draw83% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.49
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Boys: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Deportivo Garcilaso welcome Sport Boys to Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega for a Primera División fixture on Saturday 4 April (19:15 WAT). In the table, Deportivo Garcilaso are 4th, among the top four, on 29 points after 16 matches; Sport Boys are 8th (upper half) with 26. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Deportivo Garcilaso, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Alianza Lima, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game.
Sport Boys, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Sport Huancayo, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Sport Boys, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.2 for Deportivo Garcilaso.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Garcilaso 1.5 xG, Sport Boys 0.7 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Garcilaso 57%, draw 26%, Sport Boys 17%.
Lower-risk option: Deportivo Garcilaso or draw (83%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.25.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Garcilaso 1–0 Sport Boys. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportivo Garcilaso57%fair 1.76 · @1.62
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @3.60
Sport Boys17%fair 5.72 · @5.70
2.19Expected goals
1.47Deportivo Garcilaso xG
0.72Sport Boys xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–012%
1–112%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Deportivo Garcilaso 1.5 – 0.7 Sport Boys expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Deportivo Garcilaso
Sport Boys
Attack vs Primera División average
+16%
-12%
Goals conceded vs average
-15%
-23%
Our expected goals here
1.56
0.84
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Garcilaso to win
57%
1.76
1.62
Double chance
Deportivo Garcilaso or draw
83%
1.21
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
51%
1.97
2.25 ▲
Draw no bet
Deportivo Garcilaso (draw no bet)
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Sport Boys +1 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
65%
1.54
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
61%
1.63
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
81%
1.24
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
91%
1.10
1.05
First team to score
Deportivo Garcilaso to score first
60%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Garcilaso / FT Deportivo Garcilaso
33%
3.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.49
–
Recent results
Deportivo Garcilaso – last 5
DLLLL
15 Mar
vs Alianza Lima
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Cusco
0–1
L
4 Mar
@ Alianza Atletico
0–2
L
28 Feb
vs Cienciano
2–3
L
23 Feb
@ UCV Moquegua
0–1
L
0.6Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Sport Boys – last 6
WLLDLW
23 Mar
vs Sport Huancayo
3–0
W
15 Mar
@ Sporting Cristal
0–3
L
9 Mar
@ Cienciano
1–3
L
1 Mar
vs UCV Moquegua
0–0
D
21 Feb
@ Alianza Lima
0–1
L
14 Feb
vs Atletico Grau
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Garcilaso and Sport Boys.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Boys?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Boys?
On our numbers Deportivo Garcilaso have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sport Boys 17%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Boys?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Boys?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Garcilaso 1–0 Sport Boys, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Boys?
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Boys (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
