Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.45 – our chance 51% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSporting Cristal to win ✗74% · @1.22
Double chanceSporting Cristal or draw ✗92% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.11
Sporting Cristal vs UCV Moquegua: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Friday 3 April: Sporting Cristal v UCV Moquegua in the Primera División, played at Estadio Alberto Gallardo. In the table, Sporting Cristal are 2nd, among the top four, on 32 points after 16 matches; UCV Moquegua are 17th (in the drop zone) with 12. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Sporting Cristal, last 3: WWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Sport Boys, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
UCV Moquegua, last 3: DWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Sport Boys, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Sporting Cristal, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.3 for UCV Moquegua.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sporting Cristal 2.3 xG, UCV Moquegua 0.7 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 51% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sporting Cristal 74%, draw 18%, UCV Moquegua 8%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.45.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sporting Cristal to win (74%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sporting Cristal 2–0 UCV Moquegua. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sporting Cristal74%fair 1.36 · @1.22
Draw18%fair 5.58 · @5.50
UCV Moquegua8%fair 11.77 · @13.00
3.01Expected goals
2.35Sporting Cristal xG
0.66UCV Moquegua xG
51%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–014%
1–012%
3–011%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Sporting Cristal 2.3 – 0.7 UCV Moquegua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Sporting Cristal
UCV Moquegua
Attack vs Primera División average
+46%
-42%
Goals conceded vs average
+0%
-3%
Our expected goals here
2.46
0.65
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sporting Cristal to win✗
74%
1.36
1.22
Double chance
Sporting Cristal or draw✗
92%
1.09
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
2.45 ▲
Draw no bet
Sporting Cristal (draw no bet)✗
90%
1.12
–
Asian handicap
Sporting Cristal -1 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
First team to score
Sporting Cristal to score first✗
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
Sporting Cristal ahead at half-time✗
54%
1.84
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sporting Cristal / FT Sporting Cristal✗
51%
1.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.11
–
Recent results
Sporting Cristal – last 3
WWD
15 Mar
vs Sport Boys
3–0
W
4 Mar
@ Carabobo FC
1–0
W
18 Feb
@ 2 de Mayo
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
UCV Moquegua – last 3
DWL
1 Mar
@ Sport Boys
0–0
D
23 Feb
vs Deportivo Garcilaso
1–0
W
16 Feb
@ FBC Melgar
0–4
L
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sporting Cristal and UCV Moquegua.
What is the prediction for Sporting Cristal vs UCV Moquegua?
Our pick is Sporting Cristal to win with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sporting Cristal vs UCV Moquegua?
On our numbers Sporting Cristal have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 18% and UCV Moquegua 8%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting Cristal vs UCV Moquegua?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting Cristal vs UCV Moquegua?
Our predicted score is Sporting Cristal 2–0 UCV Moquegua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Sporting Cristal vs UCV Moquegua?
Sporting Cristal vs UCV Moquegua (Primera División) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alberto Gallardo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
