Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 58% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCusco to win ✓67% · @1.38
Double chanceCusco or draw ✓88% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.21
Cusco vs FC Cajamarca: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 23 April the Primera División brings Cusco against FC Cajamarca at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT. In the table, Cusco are 10th, lower half, on 24 points after 16 matches; FC Cajamarca are 14th (lower half) with 14.
Current form
Cusco, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–8 defeat to Alianza Lima, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
FC Cajamarca, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Club Deportivo Los Chankas, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Cusco, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.0 for FC Cajamarca.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cusco 2.2 xG, FC Cajamarca 0.9 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 58% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cusco 67%, draw 21%, FC Cajamarca 12%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cusco 2–0 FC Cajamarca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cusco67%fair 1.49 · @1.38
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @4.45
FC Cajamarca12%fair 8.36 · @8.25
3.08Expected goals
2.19Cusco xG
0.88FC Cajamarca xG
58%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Cusco 2.2 – 0.9 FC Cajamarca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Cusco
FC Cajamarca
Attack vs Primera División average
-4%
-12%
Goals conceded vs average
+2%
+41%
Our expected goals here
2.35
1.00
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cusco to win✓
67%
1.49
1.38
Double chance
Cusco or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Cusco (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Cusco -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.12
First team to score
Cusco to score first✓
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Cusco ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cusco / FT Cusco✗
44%
2.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.21
–
Recent results
Cusco – last 6
LLLLWW
19 Apr
@ Alianza Lima
0–8
L
14 Apr
@ Estudiantes L.P.
1–2
L
9 Apr
vs Flamengo
0–2
L
16 Mar
vs Cienciano
1–2
L
8 Mar
vs Deportivo Garcilaso
1–0
W
23 Feb
vs Comerciantes Unidos
3–1
W
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
FC Cajamarca – last 6
LLLLLL
6 Apr
vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0–1
L
21 Mar
@ Cienciano
0–3
L
13 Mar
vs Comerciantes Unidos
3–4
L
6 Mar
@ Atletico Grau
0–1
L
2 Mar
@ Universitario
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ Sport Huancayo
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cusco and FC Cajamarca.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Cusco vs FC Cajamarca?
On our numbers Cusco have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FC Cajamarca 12%.
How many goals will there be in Cusco vs FC Cajamarca?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cusco vs FC Cajamarca?
Our predicted score is Cusco 2–0 FC Cajamarca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Cusco vs FC Cajamarca?
Cusco vs FC Cajamarca (Primera División) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
