Atletico Grau vs Sporting Cristal: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:15 WAT, Wednesday 22 April: Atletico Grau v Sporting Cristal in the Primera División, played at Estadio Campeones del 36. In the table, Atletico Grau are 11th, lower half, on 21 points after 16 matches; Sporting Cristal are 2nd (among the top four) with 32.
Current form
Atletico Grau, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Club Deportivo Los Chankas, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Sporting Cristal, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Palmeiras, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Sporting Cristal, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Atletico Grau.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Grau 1.3 xG, Sporting Cristal 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Grau 32%, draw 26%, Sporting Cristal 43%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (71%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Grau 1–1 Sporting Cristal. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atletico Grau32%fair 3.17 · @3.15
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @3.15
Sporting Cristal43%fair 2.34 · @2.28
2.72Expected goals
1.26Atletico Grau xG
1.45Sporting Cristal xG
53%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Atletico Grau 1.3 – 1.5 Sporting Cristal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Atletico Grau
Sporting Cristal
Attack vs Primera División average
-16%
+46%
Goals conceded vs average
-3%
+0%
Our expected goals here
1.47
1.59
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sporting Cristal to win✗
43%
2.34
2.28
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.83
Draw no bet
Sporting Cristal (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.74
–
Asian handicap
Atletico Grau +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
1.07
First team to score
Sporting Cristal to score first✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sporting Cristal / FT Sporting Cristal✗
24%
4.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.35
–
Recent results
Atletico Grau – last 6
LDWLLL
17 Apr
@ Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0–2
L
15 Mar
@ FBC Melgar
0–0
D
6 Mar
vs FC Cajamarca
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Comerciantes Unidos
1–3
L
22 Feb
vs Juan Pablo II College
1–2
L
14 Feb
@ Sport Boys
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sporting Cristal – last 6
LWLWWD
16 Apr
@ Palmeiras
1–2
L
9 Apr
vs Cerro Porteno
1–0
W
3 Apr
vs UCV Moquegua
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Sport Boys
3–0
W
4 Mar
@ Carabobo FC
1–0
W
18 Feb
@ 2 de Mayo
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Grau and Sporting Cristal.
What is the prediction for Atletico Grau vs Sporting Cristal?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Atletico Grau vs Sporting Cristal?
On our numbers Atletico Grau have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sporting Cristal 43%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Grau vs Sporting Cristal?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Grau vs Sporting Cristal?
Our predicted score is Atletico Grau 1–1 Sporting Cristal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Atletico Grau vs Sporting Cristal?
Atletico Grau vs Sporting Cristal (Primera División) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 21:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Campeones del 36.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
