Value bet: Juan Pablo II College to win @ 3.00 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultJuan Pablo II College to win ✗37% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.68
UCV Moquegua vs Juan Pablo II College: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Tuesday 14 April: UCV Moquegua v Juan Pablo II College in the Primera División, played at Estadio 25 de Noviembre. In the table, UCV Moquegua are 17th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 16 matches; Juan Pablo II College are 9th (upper half) with 25. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
UCV Moquegua, last 4: WDWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Sporting Cristal, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Juan Pablo II College, last 3: LWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Alianza Lima, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give UCV Moquegua 1.2 xG, Juan Pablo II College 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – UCV Moquegua 36%, draw 27%, Juan Pablo II College 37%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.77.
Price worth noting: Juan Pablo II College to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: UCV Moquegua 1–1 Juan Pablo II College. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
UCV Moquegua36%fair 2.78 · @2.30
Draw27%fair 3.65 · @3.30
Juan Pablo II College37%fair 2.73 · @3.00
2.57Expected goals
1.21UCV Moquegua xG
1.36Juan Pablo II College xG
58%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: UCV Moquegua 1.2 – 1.4 Juan Pablo II College expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
UCV Moquegua
Juan Pablo II College
Attack vs Primera División average
-42%
+10%
Goals conceded vs average
-3%
-11%
Our expected goals here
0.90
1.19
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Juan Pablo II College to win✗
37%
2.73
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.38
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.74
1.77
Draw no bet
Juan Pablo II College (draw no bet)✗
50%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
UCV Moquegua +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.08
First team to score
Juan Pablo II College to score first✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Juan Pablo II College / FT Juan Pablo II College✗
23%
4.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.68
–
Recent results
UCV Moquegua – last 4
WDWL
3 Apr
@ Sporting Cristal
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Sport Boys
0–0
D
23 Feb
vs Deportivo Garcilaso
1–0
W
16 Feb
@ FBC Melgar
0–4
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Juan Pablo II College – last 3
LWW
22 Mar
@ Alianza Lima
0–2
L
8 Mar
@ ADT
3–2
W
22 Feb
@ Atletico Grau
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between UCV Moquegua and Juan Pablo II College.
What is the prediction for UCV Moquegua vs Juan Pablo II College?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win UCV Moquegua vs Juan Pablo II College?
On our numbers UCV Moquegua have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Juan Pablo II College 37%.
How many goals will there be in UCV Moquegua vs Juan Pablo II College?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UCV Moquegua vs Juan Pablo II College?
Our predicted score is UCV Moquegua 1–1 Juan Pablo II College, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is UCV Moquegua vs Juan Pablo II College?
UCV Moquegua vs Juan Pablo II College (Primera División) kicks off on Tuesday 14 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio 25 de Noviembre.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
