FC Cajamarca 40%Draw 25%ADT 35%Expected goals 1.46 – 1.23
73%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.30
8/10Rating
1.30Odds
1
Value bet: FC Cajamarca to win @ 2.62 – our chance 40% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultFC Cajamarca to win40% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.24
FC Cajamarca vs ADT: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
ADT travel to face FC Cajamarca on Saturday 18 April in the Primera División, with Estadio Heroes de San Ramon the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, FC Cajamarca are 14th, lower half, on 14 points after 16 matches; ADT are 16th (in the drop zone) with 12. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
FC Cajamarca, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Club Deportivo Los Chankas, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
ADT, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Alianza Lima, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours ADT, collecting 0.5 points per game to 0.0 for FC Cajamarca.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Cajamarca 1.5 xG, ADT 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Cajamarca 40%, draw 25%, ADT 35%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: FC Cajamarca to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Cajamarca 1–1 ADT. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Cajamarca40%fair 2.47 · @2.62
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.40
ADT35%fair 2.88 · @2.54
2.69Expected goals
1.46FC Cajamarca xG
1.23ADT xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: FC Cajamarca 1.5 – 1.2 ADT expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
FC Cajamarca
ADT
Attack vs Primera División average
-12%
-23%
Goals conceded vs average
+41%
+7%
Our expected goals here
1.64
1.22
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Cajamarca to win
40%
2.47
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
58%
1.71
1.73
Draw no bet
FC Cajamarca (draw no bet)
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
ADT +1 (Asian handicap)
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
73%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
51%
1.95
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
73%
1.38
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
87%
1.16
1.09
First team to score
FC Cajamarca to score first
51%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Cajamarca / FT FC Cajamarca
25%
4.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.24
–
Recent results
FC Cajamarca – last 6
LLLLLL
6 Apr
vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0–1
L
21 Mar
@ Cienciano
0–3
L
13 Mar
vs Comerciantes Unidos
3–4
L
6 Mar
@ Atletico Grau
0–1
L
2 Mar
@ Universitario
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ Sport Huancayo
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
ADT – last 6
LLDLDD
14 Apr
vs Alianza Lima
0–1
L
4 Apr
@ Cienciano
2–3
L
20 Mar
vs FBC Melgar
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Juan Pablo II College
2–3
L
27 Feb
@ Alianza Atletico
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs UTC Cajamarca
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Cajamarca and ADT.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win FC Cajamarca vs ADT?
On our numbers FC Cajamarca have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and ADT 35%.
How many goals will there be in FC Cajamarca vs ADT?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Cajamarca vs ADT?
Our predicted score is FC Cajamarca 1–1 ADT, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is FC Cajamarca vs ADT?
FC Cajamarca vs ADT (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Heroes de San Ramon.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
