Juan Pablo II College 57%Draw 24%Comerciantes Unidos 18%Expected goals 1.94 – 1.03
82%
Betarazi pick
Juan Pablo II College or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Juan Pablo II College to win @ 1.90 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultJuan Pablo II College to win57% · @1.90
Double chanceJuan Pablo II College or draw82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals75% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.06
Juan Pablo II College vs Comerciantes Unidos: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Juan Pablo II College welcome Comerciantes Unidos to Estadio Municipal de la Juventud for a Primera División fixture on Saturday 18 April (21:15 WAT). In the table, Juan Pablo II College are 9th, upper half, on 25 points after 16 matches; Comerciantes Unidos are 13th (lower half) with 16.
Current form
Juan Pablo II College, last 4: LLWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to UCV Moquegua, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Comerciantes Unidos, last 5: DWWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sport Huancayo, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Juan Pablo II College 1.9 xG, Comerciantes Unidos 1.0 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 51% for three or more goals, 54% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Juan Pablo II College 57%, draw 24%, Comerciantes Unidos 18%.
Lower-risk option: Juan Pablo II College or draw (82%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Juan Pablo II College to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Juan Pablo II College or draw (82%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Juan Pablo II College 1–1 Comerciantes Unidos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Juan Pablo II College57%fair 1.75 · @1.90
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.45
Comerciantes Unidos18%fair 5.43 · @3.95
2.97Expected goals
1.94Juan Pablo II College xG
1.03Comerciantes Unidos xG
54%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–010%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Juan Pablo II College 1.9 – 1.0 Comerciantes Unidos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Juan Pablo II College
Comerciantes Unidos
Attack vs Primera División average
+10%
+2%
Goals conceded vs average
-11%
+2%
Our expected goals here
1.95
1.02
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Juan Pablo II College to win
57%
1.75
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Juan Pablo II College or draw
82%
1.23
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
54%
1.84
1.83
Draw no bet
Juan Pablo II College (draw no bet)
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Comerciantes Unidos +1.5 (Asian handicap)
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
75%
1.34
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
51%
1.94
2.05 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
70%
1.43
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
85%
1.18
1.08
First team to score
Juan Pablo II College to score first
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Juan Pablo II College ahead at half-time
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Juan Pablo II College / FT Juan Pablo II College
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.06
–
Recent results
Juan Pablo II College – last 4
LLWW
14 Apr
@ UCV Moquegua
0–3
L
22 Mar
@ Alianza Lima
0–2
L
8 Mar
@ ADT
3–2
W
22 Feb
@ Atletico Grau
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Comerciantes Unidos – last 5
DWWLD
5 Apr
@ Sport Huancayo
1–1
D
13 Mar
@ FC Cajamarca
4–3
W
1 Mar
vs Atletico Grau
3–1
W
23 Feb
@ Cusco
1–3
L
15 Feb
vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Juan Pablo II College and Comerciantes Unidos.
What is the prediction for Juan Pablo II College vs Comerciantes Unidos?
Our pick is Juan Pablo II College or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Juan Pablo II College vs Comerciantes Unidos?
On our numbers Juan Pablo II College have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Comerciantes Unidos 18%.
How many goals will there be in Juan Pablo II College vs Comerciantes Unidos?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Juan Pablo II College vs Comerciantes Unidos?
Our predicted score is Juan Pablo II College 1–1 Comerciantes Unidos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Juan Pablo II College vs Comerciantes Unidos?
Juan Pablo II College vs Comerciantes Unidos (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 21:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de la Juventud.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
