Value bet: ADT to win @ 2.54 – our chance 42% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultADT to win ✓42% · @2.54
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.95
ADT vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 27 April the Primera División brings ADT against Club Deportivo Los Chankas at Estadio Union Tarma. Kick-off: 21:00 WAT. In the table, ADT are 16th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 16 matches; Club Deportivo Los Chankas are 15th (lower half) with 14. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
ADT, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Alianza Lima, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Club Deportivo Los Chankas, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Cienciano, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Club Deportivo Los Chankas, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.5 for ADT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give ADT 1.5 xG, Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – ADT 42%, draw 27%, Club Deportivo Los Chankas 30%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: ADT to win @2.54 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: ADT 1–1 Club Deportivo Los Chankas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
ADT42%fair 2.37 · @2.54
Draw27%fair 3.64 · @2.98
Club Deportivo Los Chankas30%fair 3.30 · @2.94
2.50Expected goals
1.47ADT xG
1.03Club Deportivo Los Chankas xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: ADT 1.5 – 1.0 Club Deportivo Los Chankas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
ADT
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Attack vs Primera División average
-23%
-28%
Goals conceded vs average
+7%
+16%
Our expected goals here
1.56
0.87
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ADT to win✓
42%
2.37
2.54 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.38
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.73
Draw no bet
ADT (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Club Deportivo Los Chankas +1 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.09
First team to score
ADT to score first✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT ADT / FT ADT✗
28%
3.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.95
–
Recent results
ADT – last 6
LLDLDD
14 Apr
vs Alianza Lima
0–1
L
4 Apr
@ Cienciano
2–3
L
20 Mar
vs FBC Melgar
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Juan Pablo II College
2–3
L
27 Feb
@ Alianza Atletico
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs UTC Cajamarca
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Club Deportivo Los Chankas – last 6
WWWWWD
23 Apr
vs Cienciano
1–0
W
17 Apr
vs Atletico Grau
2–0
W
6 Apr
@ FC Cajamarca
1–0
W
27 Feb
@ FBC Melgar
2–1
W
22 Feb
vs Sport Huancayo
3–2
W
15 Feb
@ Comerciantes Unidos
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ADT and Club Deportivo Los Chankas.
What is the prediction for ADT vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win ADT vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?
On our numbers ADT have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Club Deportivo Los Chankas 30%.
How many goals will there be in ADT vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ADT vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?
Our predicted score is ADT 1–1 Club Deportivo Los Chankas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is ADT vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?
ADT vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas (Primera División) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Union Tarma.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
