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UTC Cajamarca v Cienciano: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Peru · Estadio Heroes de San Ramon
Sun 26 Apr 2026
UTC Cajamarca 38%Draw 25%Cienciano 37% Expected goals 1.51 – 1.42
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.28

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultUTC Cajamarca to win38% · @2.48
Double chanceEither team to win75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.59

UTC Cajamarca vs Cienciano: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

UTC Cajamarca welcome Cienciano to Estadio Heroes de San Ramon for a Primera División fixture on Sunday 26 April (17:00 WAT). In the table, UTC Cajamarca are 18th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 16 matches; Cienciano are 12th (lower half) with 17.

Current form

UTC Cajamarca, last 4: DLDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Sport Huancayo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Cienciano, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Club Deportivo Los Chankas, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Cienciano, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for UTC Cajamarca.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give UTC Cajamarca 1.5 xG, Cienciano 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 53% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – UTC Cajamarca 38%, draw 25%, Cienciano 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: UTC Cajamarca 1–1 Cienciano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

UTC Cajamarca38%fair 2.65 · @2.48
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.40
Cienciano37%fair 2.67 · @2.68
2.93Expected goals
1.51UTC Cajamarca xG
1.42Cienciano xG
60%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–18%
2–26%

From our goals model: UTC Cajamarca 1.5 – 1.4 Cienciano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

UTC CajamarcaCienciano
Attack vs Primera División average-12%-4%
Goals conceded vs average+25%+1%
Our expected goals here1.551.35

Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUTC Cajamarca to win38%2.652.48
Double chanceEither team to win75%1.331.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score60%1.671.67
Draw no betUTC Cajamarca (draw no bet)50%1.99–
Asian handicapCienciano +0.5 (Asian handicap)60%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals76%1.311.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals53%1.871.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals68%1.461.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals84%1.191.11
First team to scoreUTC Cajamarca to score first49%2.05–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time40%2.48–
Half-time / full-timeHT UTC Cajamarca / FT UTC Cajamarca23%4.29–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%11.59–

Recent results

UTC Cajamarca – last 4

DLDW
15 Aprvs Sport Huancayo2–2D
15 Mar@ Universitario0–2L
22 Feb@ ADT2–2D
13 Febvs Cusco1–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Cienciano – last 6

LWWDWW
23 Apr@ Club Deportivo Los Chankas0–1L
20 Aprvs UCV Moquegua2–1W
17 Aprvs Puerto Cabello2–0W
9 Apr@ Juventud1–1D
4 Aprvs ADT3–2W
21 Marvs FC Cajamarca3–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between UTC Cajamarca and Cienciano.

UTC Cajamarca vs Cienciano head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Alianza Lima332094+3069
2Universitario3317106+2061
3FBC Melgar331698+1857
4Deportivo Garcilaso3316710+1555
5Sporting Cristal3315612+1551
6Cusco3316314-151
7Cienciano3315513+850
8Sport Huancayo3315513-150
9Alianza Atletico3314712+149
10Club Deportivo Los Chankas3313911-1248
11Sport Boys33121011+246
12Juan Pablo II College3311814-1141
13Comerciantes Unidos3381312-337
14Atletico Grau3310716-937
15ADT3371115-1232
16FC Cajamarca338718-1931
17UCV Moquegua337917-2130
18UTC Cajamarca335919-2019

More Primera División predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for UTC Cajamarca vs Cienciano?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win UTC Cajamarca vs Cienciano?

On our numbers UTC Cajamarca have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Cienciano 37%.

How many goals will there be in UTC Cajamarca vs Cienciano?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for UTC Cajamarca vs Cienciano?

Our predicted score is UTC Cajamarca 1–1 Cienciano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is UTC Cajamarca vs Cienciano?

UTC Cajamarca vs Cienciano (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Heroes de San Ramon.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.