Alianza Atletico vs Sport Huancayo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Alianza Atletico welcome Sport Huancayo to Estadio Campeones del 36 for a Primera División fixture on Sunday 3 May (21:30 WAT). In the table, Alianza Atletico are 7th, upper half, on 28 points after 16 matches; Sport Huancayo are 1st (leading the league) with 34.
Current form
Alianza Atletico, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Macara, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Sport Huancayo, last 5: WDDLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Deportivo Garcilaso, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alianza Atletico 1.5 xG, Sport Huancayo 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alianza Atletico 50%, draw 26%, Sport Huancayo 25%.
Lower-risk option: Alianza Atletico or draw (75%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.93.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (71%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alianza Atletico 1–1 Sport Huancayo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alianza Atletico50%fair 2.02 · @1.89
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.40
Sport Huancayo25%fair 4.04 · @4.10
2.68Expected goals
1.52Alianza Atletico xG
1.15Sport Huancayo xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Alianza Atletico 1.5 – 1.2 Sport Huancayo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Alianza Atletico
Sport Huancayo
Attack vs Primera División average
+10%
+13%
Goals conceded vs average
+20%
-14%
Our expected goals here
1.65
1.53
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alianza Atletico to win
50%
2.02
1.89
Double chance
Alianza Atletico or draw
75%
1.33
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
55%
1.83
1.93 ▲
Draw no bet
Alianza Atletico (draw no bet)
67%
1.50
–
Asian handicap
Sport Huancayo +1 (Asian handicap)
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
71%
1.40
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
53%
1.88
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
75%
1.34
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
87%
1.14
1.07
First team to score
Alianza Atletico to score first
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alianza Atletico / FT Alianza Atletico
27%
3.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.87
–
Recent results
Alianza Atletico – last 6
LWLLDW
1 May
vs Macara
0–2
L
27 Apr
@ Universitario
2–1
W
22 Apr
@ Comerciantes Unidos
0–1
L
16 Apr
@ America de Cali
1–2
L
8 Apr
vs Tigre
1–1
D
4 Mar
vs Deportivo Garcilaso
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sport Huancayo – last 6
WDDLLW
18 Apr
vs Deportivo Garcilaso
2–1
W
15 Apr
@ UTC Cajamarca
2–2
D
5 Apr
vs Comerciantes Unidos
1–1
D
23 Mar
@ Sport Boys
0–3
L
22 Feb
@ Club Deportivo Los Chankas
2–3
L
15 Feb
vs FC Cajamarca
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alianza Atletico and Sport Huancayo.
What is the prediction for Alianza Atletico vs Sport Huancayo?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Alianza Atletico vs Sport Huancayo?
On our numbers Alianza Atletico have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sport Huancayo 25%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza Atletico vs Sport Huancayo?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza Atletico vs Sport Huancayo?
Our predicted score is Alianza Atletico 1–1 Sport Huancayo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Alianza Atletico vs Sport Huancayo?
Alianza Atletico vs Sport Huancayo (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Campeones del 36.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
